Patrick Caddell
Patrick Hayward Caddell was an American public opinion pollster and a political film consultant who served in the Carter administration. He worked for Democratic presidential candidates George McGovern in 1972, Jimmy Carter in 1976 and 1980, Gary Hart in 1984, Walter Mondale in 1984, Joe Biden in 1988, and Jerry Brown in 1992. He also worked for Mario Cuomo, Bob Graham, Michael Dukakis, Paul Simon, Ted Kennedy, Harold Washington, Andrew Romanoff and Donald Trump.
Early life
Patrick Hayward Caddell was born into an Irish Catholic family in Rock Hill, South Carolina, the son of Newton Pascal Caddell, a U.S. Coast Guard officer, and Janie Burns Caddell. He spent most of his childhood in various base towns, such as Falmouth, Massachusetts, and was inspired by the Kennedys.While attending Bishop Kenny High School in Jacksonville, Florida, he developed a model to project election winners and was hired by Speaker of the Florida House of Representatives, Frederick H. Schultz. In his senior year at Harvard, he borrowed $25,000 from Schultz and started a polling firm, Cambridge Survey Research, with two classmates, John Gorman and Daniel Porter. In the fall of 1971, Gary Hart, the campaign manager for George McGovern's 1972 presidential campaign, hired Caddell's firm to conduct polls in New Hampshire, where he worked closely with McGovern's aide Frank Mankiewicz, and Caddell began pitching his "alienated voters" theory. After Harvard informed him that he would not graduate without passing a swimming test, Caddell hastily arranged a swimming test in a California hotel pool. Gonzo journalist Hunter S. Thompson was his coach and renowned political journalist Theodore H. White, who was a member of the Harvard Board of Overseers, served as the judge. Caddell graduated from Harvard University in 1972.
In July 1973, Daniel Porter and his girlfriend Susan Petz were murdered on a camping trip at Adirondack Park by serial killer Robert Garrow. After police discovered Porter's car, Caddell came to Adirondack Park to join the search and he was the one who discovered Porter's body in the woods. Due to the fact that, as business partners, Caddell and Porter had taken life insurance policies on each other, Caddell was initially considered a suspect. During the Watergate hearings, it was revealed that both Caddell and Porter were on President Richard Nixon's enemies list. They were the youngest people on the list. Consequently, Senator Ted Kennedy became concerned Caddell was being falsely accused for political reasons and sent two of his own investigators to Warren County, New York. After Garrow committed another murder on July 29, 1973, it became obvious to police that he was the perpetrator of the Porter-Petz murders and Caddell was cleared.
Career
Jimmy Carter 1976 presidential campaign and "malaise" speech
Caddell persuaded Carter to focus in 1976 on the "trust factor", rather than divisive political issues in the 1976 campaign, a strategy which led, narrowly, to victory. The Arkansas political scientist and pollster Jim Ranchino declared the then 26-year-old Caddell "the best pollster in the business". After Carter was elected president, Caddell purchased a gold Mercedes. He and White House Communications Director Gerald Rafshoon rented a Georgetown house from Miss America 1951, Yolande Fox. He escorted actress Lauren Bacall to Carter's inauguration ball. Actor Warren Beatty introduced him to Christie Hefner, the daughter of Playboy magazine founder Hugh Hefner. Dotty Lynch worked for him from 1973 to 1979.According to researchers, Caddell had wide influence and access in the Carter White House, and enjoyed close relationships with both President Carter and the first lady, Rosalynn Carter. He was the chief advocate of what later became known as Carter's "malaise speech". The speech was initially well received, but Carter soon fired most of his cabinet and his popularity suffered. In 1987, Carter's White House press secretary, Jody Powell, stated that the cabinet firings were not Caddell's idea, but that of Carter's White House chief of staff, Hamilton Jordan.
Although Caddell was not on the government's payroll, he carried a White House pass and regularly attended strategy meetings led by Jordan. Caddell's memos to Carter were not screened by anyone on the White House staff. In 1977, Caddell's privileged access to the Oval Office, despite his corporate and foreign clients, led to charges of conflict of interest. The New York Times columnist William Safire specifically criticized Caddell's contract with Saudi Arabia. Caddell's desire to officially join Carter's White House staff was allegedly vetoed by Jordan.
File:Jimmy_Carter and Pat Caddell - NARA - 178945.tif|thumb|Caddell in the Oval Office shaking hands with President Jimmy Carter
1984 presidential election
After Carter's defeat in the 1980 presidential election, Caddell began to look for a candidate to run against Ronald Reagan in 1984. Senator John Glenn rejected him. Carter's Vice President Walter Mondale, who had disagreed with Caddell over the "malaise speech," instead hired Bob Beckel as campaign manager and Peter Hart as pollster. He tried to persuade Joe Biden, Dale Bumpers, and then Chris Dodd to run, but none of them were interested. On New Year's Eve 1983, Caddell was hired by his longtime friend Senator Gary Hart, who had given Caddell his first job in national politics on the George McGovern campaign in 1972. Caddell was credited with Hart's stunning victory over Mondale in the 1984 New Hampshire primary. However, he was blamed for approving a television commercial attacking influential Chicago alderman Edward "Fast Eddie" Vrdolyak that inflicted significant damage to Hart's campaign. He was also accused of refusing to attend campaign meetings and only willing to deal with Hart directly.After Mondale defeated Hart in the 1984 Democratic presidential primaries, Caddell joined Mondale's campaign. He was tasked with polling, strategy, and debate prep. He was credited with devising Mondale's debate strategy in the first 1984 United States presidential debates.
Joe Biden 1988 presidential campaign
Caddell and Biden initially became close friends in 1972 during Biden's first campaign for US Senate, when the 21-year-old Caddell was the pollster for the 29-year-old Biden. In 1983, Biden remarked, "Sometimes it's hard to know where Pat's thinking stops and mine begins." Biden also remarked to journalist Jules Witcover that Caddell was a "godlike" figure. Caddell and Biden sometimes spent summers together at Caddell's rented house on Martha's Vineyard listening to recordings of Bobby Kennedy's speeches and, on one occasion, Caddell accompanied the Biden family on a winter vacation to Hawaii.After Mondale's defeat in the 1984 election, Caddell started a political and corporate consulting firm with Bob Shrum and David Doak. A public dispute between the three men ensued and Biden was called in to be the mediator. In 1988, Caddell left Democratic consulting firm Caddell, Doak and Shrum after what The Washington Post described as an "acrimonious lawsuit". When Biden decided to run for president in 1988, he initially approached Doak to be his campaign manager, but Doak rejected him because he didn't want to work with Caddell again. Instead, Doak and Shrum signed onto Dick Gephardt's campaign. Biden eventually hired Tim Ridley to be his campaign manager. Biden's campaign was plagued by infighting, largely attributed to Caddell's presence. Shortly after Biden announced his presidential run in June 1987, Caddell accosted a Washington Post reporter at a hotel in Des Moines, Iowa, and consequently, Biden's aide Ted Kaufman asked him not to attend the first primary debate. In August 1987, after a series of one-on-one meetings and dinners with Caddell throughout the summer, Biden confided in his senior staff, Ridley, Tom Donilon, Kaufman, and sister Valerie Biden Owens that he was reluctant to fire Caddell due to their longstanding friendship and simply did not know what to do.
On September 12, 1987, Biden was accused of plagiarizing a speech from British Labour Party leader Neil Kinnock. Four days later, Biden was further accused of plagiarizing another speech, stealing phrases verbatim from Bobby Kennedy. The latter speech was written by Caddell. Biden was later found to have also plagiarized speeches from John F. Kennedy and Hubert Humphrey. Biden's staff urged him to withdraw from the race, but Caddell argued otherwise and instead urged Biden to attack the press. He confronted the New York Times reporter who had initially written the Kinnock story over the phone and falsely accused his former business partners Shrum and Doak of producing the "attack video" highlighting Biden's plagiarism. On October 1, 1987, Michael Dukakis acknowledged that his campaign manager, John Sasso, was the one who had given the New York Times reporter the Biden plagiarism videotape. Sasso and Dukakis' political director, Paul Tully, subsequently resigned. Caddell later apologized to the Gephardt campaign.
On September 22, 1987, the night before Biden withdrew from the presidential race, Biden's inner circle gathered at Biden's home in Wilmington, Delaware, and advised him to drop out. Caddell was not invited to the meeting, but he called every 15 minutes to argue otherwise through a pay phone. He told Biden's press spokesman, Larry Rasky, "You people have formed a vigilante group to get my candidate out of the race." He told another advisor that he had "no right to give my candidate advice". He demanded Biden's brother, Jimmy, to allow him to speak to Biden directly and accused Jimmy of screening calls.
One week after Biden withdrew, he met with Caddell in Wilmington and told him that "his advice would no longer be welcomed in any future political endeavor". Additionally, Biden released a statement that stated, "The senator wants it to be known that he has no animosity toward Pat Caddell, but that he has ended his relationship with him." Initially, Caddell claimed that their friendship was still intact and that Biden's statement only meant they would no longer have a professional relationship, but in a 2017 interview almost 30 years later, Caddell conceded that their relationship never recovered and that he was "not comfortable yet to talk about it". When asked about Caddell in 2007, Biden said, "I hope he's doing okay. I don't know anybody who sees him. I ask all the time, 'Anybody seen Pat?" In a subsequent interview in 2015, Biden said, "For 20 years, I haven't seen Pat. We don't have a relationship. He's a good guy."
Caddell was also accused of having a role in the implosion of his former boss' Gary Hart's 1988 presidential campaign after a photo of Hart with model Donna Rice on the yacht Monkey Business surfaced in May 1987, leading to charges of infidelity and Hart's withdrawal from the race. Caddell denied the allegation. Others accused Republican strategist Lee Atwater of "setting up" Hart.