2020 Montana gubernatorial election


The 2020 Montana gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the next governor of Montana, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives and various state and local elections. It resulted in voters selecting Greg Gianforte over Mike Cooney. Incumbent Democratic governor Steve Bullock was term-limited and could not seek a third consecutive term in office, and he ran unsuccessfully for Montana's Class II Senate seat.
Bullock's lieutenant governor, Mike Cooney, was the Democratic nominee, while the Republican nominee was Montana's at-large representative Greg Gianforte, who won the election, making him the first Republican governor of Montana since Judy Martz left office in 2005. This was the only gubernatorial seat to change partisan control in the 2020 elections. This election marked the first time since the 1920s that Republicans controlled all state constitutional offices and a majority of the legislature.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Cooney
Reilly
Neill
Casey
Schreiner
Whitney
Williams
Other /
Undecided
Montana State University BillingsOctober 7–16, 201940 19%2%6%11%62%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Polls with a sample size of <100 have their sample size entries marked in red to indicate a lack of reliability.
Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tim
Fox
Greg
Gianforte
Albert
Olszewski
Other /
Undecided
Montana State University BillingsOctober 7–16, 201999 25%33%9%32%
Gravis MarketingAugust 28–30, 2019433 ± 4.7%29%56%15%
Moore InformationJuly 7–10, 2019400 ± 5.0%17%56%5%23%

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

  • Lyman Bishop, founder and CEO of Hoplite Armor
  • *Running mate: John Nesper

Withdrawn

  • Ron Vandevender, nominee for lieutenant governor in 2016 and nominee for governor in 2012

Green Party

Disqualified

General election

Polling

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Mike
Cooney
Greg
Gianforte
Other /
Undecided
Change ResearchOctober 29November 2, 2020920 ± 3.5%44% 48% 6%
Montana State University BillingsOctober 19–24, 2020546 ± 4.2%45%45%11%
Siena College/NYT UpshotOctober 18–20, 2020758 ± 4.4%44%48%8%
Strategies 360/NBCMTOctober 15–20, 2020500 ± 4.4%41%48%11%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQOctober 15–18, 2020800 ± 3.5%45%48%5%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQOctober 15–18, 2020800 ± 3.5%47%46%5%
RMG Research/PoliticalIQOctober 15–18, 2020800 ± 3.5%43%50%5%
Emerson CollegeOctober 4–7, 2020500 ± 3.7%41%54%5%
Montana State University BozemanSeptember 14October 2, 20201,605 ± 3.9%42%47%11%
Siena College/NYT UpshotSeptember 14–16, 2020625 ± 4.8%39%45%16%
Global Strategy Group August 18–23, 2020600 46%47%
Emerson CollegeJuly 31August 2, 2020584 ± 4.0%41%50%10%
Civiqs/Daily KosJuly 11–13, 2020873 ± 4.2%44%47%9%
Public Policy PollingJuly 9–10, 20201,224 ± 2.8%42%46%12%
University of MontanaJune 17–26, 2020517 ± 4.3%36%46%18%
The Progress Campaign April 14–21, 20201,712 ± 4.6%41%43%16%

with Mike Cooney, Tim Fox, Greg Gianforte, Albert Olszewski, Ron Vandevender and Whitney Williams

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Democratic
candidates
Republican
candidates
Ron
Vandevender
University of MontanaFebruary 12–22, 2020498 ± 4.4%35.1%61.7%1.3%

with Mike Cooney, Tim Fox, Greg Gianforte, Reilly Neill, Albert Olszewski, Gary Perry, Casey Schreiner and Whitney Williams

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Democratic
candidates
Republican
candidates
University of MontanaSeptember 26October 3, 2019303 ± 5.6%40%60.1%

with Tim Fox, Matt Rosendale, Corey Stapleton, Kathleen Williams and Whitney Williams

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Democratic
candidates
Republican
candidates
Other /
Undecided
University of MontanaFebruary 21March 1, 2019293 ± 5.7%32.4%48.4%19.2%

Results

By county

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican