2018 Arizona gubernatorial election
The 2018 Arizona gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the governor of Arizona. It was held concurrently with the [United States Senate United States Senate election in Arizona, 2018|election in Arizona, 2018|election] of Arizona's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as elections for Arizona's congressional seats and various state and local elections.
The primary was held on August 28. Despite considerably closer contests in other Arizona state elections, which included Democratic gains for U.S. Senate, Secretary of State, and Superintendent of Public Instruction, incumbent Governor Doug Ducey won a second term, with a slightly increased majority from his 2014 win and the largest margin of victory of any statewide candidate on the ballot.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Doug Ducey, incumbent governor
Eliminated in primary
- Ken Bennett, former secretary of state of Arizona
- Robert Weber ''''
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- David Garcia, Arizona State University professor and nominee for Superintendent of Public Instruction in 2014
Eliminated in primary
- Mirza Fareed "Fareed" Baig
- Steve Farley, state senator
- Kelly Fryer, nonprofit executive and activist
Declined
- Terry Goddard, former Arizona Attorney General and nominee for governor in 2010 and 1990
- Kyrsten Sinema, U.S. Representative from
- Greg Stanton, Mayor of Phoenix ''''
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Disqualified
- Jeff Funicello, activist
- Barry Hess
- Kevin McCormick, candidate for president in 2016
Green primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Angel Torres ''''
Eliminated in primary
- Noah Dyer ''''
Independents
Candidates
Disqualified
- Noah Dyer, author, businessman and educator
- Christian R. Komor, author, psychologist, climate scientist
Declined
- Tim Jeffries, former director of the Arizona Department of Economic Security
General election
Polling
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Ducey | David Garcia | Angel Torres | Other | Undecided |
| HarrisX | November 3–5, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 53% | 39% | – | – | – |
| HarrisX | November 2–4, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 55% | 37% | – | – | – |
| Emerson College | November 1–3, 2018 | 758 | ± 3.7% | 55% | 40% | – | – | 5% |
| HarrisX | November 1–3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 36% | – | – | – |
| Research Co. | November 1–3, 2018 | 450 | ± 4.6% | 54% | 39% | – | 2% | 5% |
| HarrisX | October 31 – November 2, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 56% | 37% | – | – | – |
| Gravis Marketing | October 24 – November 2, 2018 | 1,165 | ± 2.9% | 53% | 40% | – | – | 7% |
| HarrisX | October 30 – November 1, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 36% | – | – | – |
| HarrisX | October 29–31, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 54% | 37% | – | – | – |
| Vox Populi Polling | October 27–30, 2018 | 677 | ± 3.7% | 54% | 46% | – | – | – |
| HarrisX | October 24–30, 2018 | 1,400 | ± 2.6% | 57% | 35% | – | – | – |
| Fox News | October 27–29, 2018 | 643 LV | ± 3.5% | 55% | 37% | – | 2% | 5% |
| Fox News | October 27–29, 2018 | 710 RV | ± 3.5% | 54% | 35% | – | 3% | 7% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 24–29, 2018 | 702 LV | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | – | 0% | 1% |
| CNN/SSRS | October 24–29, 2018 | 867 RV | ± 4.0% | 52% | 43% | – | 0% | 3% |
| HighGround Public Affairs | October 26–28, 2018 | 400 | ± 4.9% | 55% | 35% | 4% | – | 7% |
| Marist College | October 23–27, 2018 | 506 LV | ± 5.4% | 54% | 40% | 5% | <1% | 2% |
| Marist College | October 23–27, 2018 | 506 LV | ± 5.4% | 55% | 42% | – | 1% | 1% |
| Marist College | October 23–27, 2018 | 793 RV | ± 4.4% | 54% | 38% | 5% | <1% | 3% |
| Marist College | October 23–27, 2018 | 793 RV | ± 4.4% | 55% | 41% | – | 1% | 3% |
| YouGov | October 23–26, 2018 | 972 | ± 4.1% | 52% | 41% | – | 1% | 5% |
| Ipsos | October 17–26, 2018 | 799 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 37% | – | 2% | 3% |
| OH Predictive Insights | October 22–23, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 57% | 39% | 1% | – | 3% |
| Change Research | October 9–10, 2018 | 783 | – | 47% | 40% | – | – | 11% |
| OH Predictive Insights | October 3, 2018 | 600 | ± 4.0% | 54% | 37% | 2% | – | 7% |
| Data Orbital | October 1–3, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 52% | 34% | 2% | 2% | 9% |
| Fox News | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 716 LV | ± 3.5% | 55% | 37% | – | 1% | 7% |
| Fox News | September 29 – October 2, 2018 | 806 RV | ± 3.5% | 54% | 35% | – | 2% | 9% |
| Vox Populi Polling | September 29 – October 1, 2018 | 702 | ± 3.5% | 57% | 43% | – | – | – |
| Suffolk University | September 27–30, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 50% | 38% | 2% | 0% | 10% |
| Latino Decisions | September 10–25, 2018 | 463 LV | – | 45% | 40% | – | – | 15% |
| Latino Decisions | September 10–25, 2018 | 610 RV | – | 41% | 37% | – | – | 19% |
| Emerson College | September 19–21, 2018 | 650 | ± 4.4% | 42% | 38% | – | 6% | 14% |
| Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 564 LV | ± 4.7% | 49% | 39% | 6% | <1% | 6% |
| Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 564 LV | ± 4.7% | 51% | 43% | – | <1% | 5% |
| Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 763 RV | ± 4.2% | 48% | 37% | 7% | <1% | 7% |
| Marist College | September 16–20, 2018 | 763 RV | ± 4.2% | 51% | 42% | – | 1% | 6% |
| CNN/SSRS | September 11–15, 2018 | 761 LV | ± 4.3% | 49% | 46% | – | 0% | 2% |
| CNN/SSRS | September 11–15, 2018 | 854 RV | ± 4.1% | 48% | 45% | – | 1% | 4% |
| Ipsos | September 5–14, 2018 | 1,016 | ± 4.0% | 51% | 39% | – | 4% | 7% |
| TargetSmart | September 8–13, 2018 | 800 | ± 4.0% | 49% | 48% | – | 0% | 3% |
| Fox News | September 8–11, 2018 | 710 LV | ± 3.5% | 51% | 40% | – | 1% | 8% |
| Fox News | September 8–11, 2018 | 801 RV | ± 3.5% | 49% | 39% | – | 1% | 10% |
| Gravis Marketing | September 5–7, 2018 | 882 | ± 3.3% | 48% | 44% | – | – | 9% |
| Data Orbital | September 4–6, 2018 | 550 | ± 4.2% | 49% | 41% | – | 2% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 30–31, 2018 | 554 | ± 4.2% | 44% | 43% | – | – | 13% |
| Gravis Marketing | June 27 – July 2, 2018 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 41% | 42% | – | – | 17% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 5–7, 2018 | 735 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 43% | – | – | 15% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 7–8, 2017 | 1,020 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 44% | – | – | 14% |
with Steve Farley
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Ducey | Steve Farley | Undecided |
| Gravis Marketing | June 27 – July 2, 2018 | 925 | ± 3.2% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| GQR Research | February 23 – March 5, 2018 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 49% | 44% | 7% |
| Public Policy Polling | January 5–7, 2018 | 735 | ± 4.0% | 42% | 39% | 19% |
| Public Policy Polling | June 7–8, 2017 | 1,020 | ± 3.1% | 42% | 40% | 18% |
with generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Ducey | Generic Democrat | Undecided |
| Morning Consult | June 29 – July 9, 2018 | 1,641 | ± 2.0% | 34% | 41% | 25% |
with Kyrsten Sinema
| Poll source | Date administered | Sample size | Margin of error | Doug Ducey | Kyrsten Sinema | Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling | May 13–15, 2016 | 896 | ± 3.3% | 43% | 36% | 21% |
Results
By congressional district
Ducey won six of nine congressional districts, including two that elected Democrats.| District | David Garcia Democratic | Doug Ducey Republican | Representative |
| 43% | 54% | Tom O'Halleran | |
| 46% | 52% | Ann Kirkpatrick | |
| 58% | 39% | Raúl Grijalva | |
| 25% | 73% | Paul Gosar | |
| 34% | 64% | Andy Biggs | |
| 38% | 60% | David Schweikert | |
| 67% | 30% | Ruben Gallego | |
| 33% | 65% | Debbie Lesko | |
| 52% | 45% | Greg Stanton |