2006 California gubernatorial election


The 2006 California gubernatorial election occurred in the US state on November 7, 2006. The primary elections took place on June 6, 2006. The incumbent [California California Republican Party|Republican Party|Republican] Governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, won re-election for his first and only full term. His main opponent was California State Treasurer Phil Angelides, the Democratic Party nominee. Peter Camejo was the California Green Party nominee, Janice Jordan was the Peace and Freedom Party nominee, Art Olivier was the California Libertarian Party nominee, and Edward C. Noonan was the California American Independent Party nominee.
Under the state constitution, the governor serves a four-year term, with a maximum or minimum term limit of two four-year terms for life, regardless of whether or not they are consecutive or nonconsecutive. Arnold Schwarzenegger was elected in a 2003 recall election and served out the remainder of predecessor Gray Davis's term ending in 2007; Schwarzenegger was therefore eligible to serve until 2011. As of, this and the concurrent Insurance Commissioner election mark the most recent time Republicans have won a statewide election in California, the most recent time a Republican was officially elected California governor, and the last election in which a California governor and lieutenant governor of opposite political parties were elected.
Exit polls showed Schwarzenegger won the vote of White and Asian Americans, while Angelides won among African Americans and Latinos.

Primary election

Bar graph of statewide results
Results by county
The period for candidate nominations closed on March 24, 2006.

Democratic

Candidates

The two front-runners for the Democratic nomination were Angelides and California State Controller Steve Westly. A pre-election poll had Westly leading Angelides by six percentage points. The Field Poll conducted on April 17, 2006, showed that both Democratic candidates had low recognition factors amongst the state's electorate, with only 45% having any opinion on Angelides and 40% for Westly. Of registered Democrats surveyed, 59% said they didn't know enough about Angelides to have any opinion about him, with 58% saying the same for Westly. The Los Angeles Times reported that the race for the Democratic nomination was a virtual tie, with Angelides leading Westly by three percentage points, within the 3% margin of error. Unusually, 28% of Democratic voters were undecided, and both candidates tried to earn the undecided vote.
Angelides reported a recent increase in support for his campaign and gained union support as well as support from the "core" liberal constituency. The California Democratic Party endorsed him prior to the primary, despite most polls showing that Westly would fare much better against Schwarzenegger in the general election. However, many registered Democrats believed that Westly had a greater chance of winning against incumbent governor Schwarzenegger and felt that he had a slightly "more positive" image. In the end, Angelides won 47.9% of the vote to Westly's 43.4%. The turnout for the primary, was a record low 33.6%, far below the 38% predicted by the Secretary of State, with the turnout of valid ballots cast on election day at 28%.

Republican

Candidates

Republican Schwarzenegger faced token opposition and won overwhelmingly in the primary held on June 6, 2006.

General election

Candidates

Campaign

Schwarzenegger's decision to call the 2005 special election, as well as his propositions dealing with teachers' and nurses' unions and other political missteps, brought his approval rating down to 39% by April 2006, though he ended up solidly defeating his opponents. During his first two years, he came under fire from some conservatives for supporting several taxes on Californians, and from some liberals for refusing to sign a bill allowing gay marriage, and his support for several controversial propositions in 2005. Later, Schwarzenegger's popularity with voters rebounded and he won reelection by a wide margin.

Polling

Schwarzenegger v Westly

SourceDateSchwarzenegger Westly
Field PollJune 2, 200644%42%
LA Times PollMay 28, 200640%50%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMay 25, 200636%36%
RasmussenMay 23, 200644%46%
LA Times PollApril 29, 200639%48%
RasmussenApril 17, 200648%40%
Field PollApril 14, 200643%43%
Public Policy Institute of CaliforniaMarch 30, 200639%31%
RasmussenMarch 23, 200644%45%
Field PollMarch 2, 200637%41%
RasmussenFebruary 13, 200639%34%
Field PollFebruary 2, 200652%33%
RasmussenJanuary 25, 200639%40%
RasmussenDecember 16, 200539%46%
Field PollNovember 3, 200540%46%
Field PollAugust 29, 200539%42%
Field PollJune 13, 200540%44%

Results

By county

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Schwarzenegger won 37 of 53 congressional districts, including 13 held by Democrats.
DistrictSchwarzeneggerAngelidesRepresentative
51.0%40.9%Mike Thompson
70.5%23.7%Wally Herger
68.6%26.8%Dan Lungren
72.2%22.8%John Doolittle
49.6%43.8%Doris Matsui
45.9%46.4%Lynn Woolsey
44.0%50.4%George Miller
27.9%64.3%Nancy Pelosi
24.0%67.3%Barbara Lee
56.2%38.7%Ellen Tauscher
65.3%31.1%Richard Pombo
65.3%31.1%Jerry McNerney
44.2%50.5%Tom Lantos
42.4%52.1%Pete Stark
50.9%42.7%Anna Eshoo
53.6%41.3%Mike Honda
49.6%46.1%Zoe Lofgren
48.1%44.6%Sam Farr
55.7%39.7%Dennis Cardoza
69.3%26.6%George Radanovich
53.7%41.5%Jim Costa
71.6%25.0%Devin Nunes
73.8%22.0%Bill Thomas
73.8%22.0%Kevin McCarthy
53.6%41.1%Lois Capps
65.8%29.6%Elton Gallegly
66.4%28.5%Buck McKeon
65.1%30.5%David Dreier
52.7%42.3%Brad Sherman
40.2%54.7%Howard Berman
50.3%44.4%Adam Schiff
49.8%45.9%Henry Waxman
26.8%66.8%Xavier Becerra
41.5%53.8%Hilda Solis
25.6%69.4%Diane Watson
32.4%62.6%Lucille Roybal-Allard
27.9%67.3%Maxine Waters
52.5%42.6%Jane Harman
33.9%60.6%Juanita Millender-McDonald
37.1%58.3%Grace Napolitano
46.1%49.3%Linda Sánchez
69.0%26.0%Ed Royce
68.6%26.6%Jerry Lewis
71.1%24.6%Gary Miller
45.4%48.7%Joe Baca
66.8%28.4%Ken Calvert
65.2%31.0%Mary Bono
68.9%26.3%Dana Rohrabacher
53.6%40.3%Loretta Sanchez
71.5%24.0%John B. T. Campbell III
71.4%24.1%Darrell Issa
69.9%26.3%Brian Bilbray
51.6%43.1%Bob Filner
72.4%24.3%Duncan L. Hunter
53.4%40.6%Susan Davis

Analysis

Results showed Schwarzenegger won 52 counties while Angelides won six; Schwarzenegger won an absolute majority in 48 counties and a plurality in four others, while Angelides won a majority in two counties and a plurality in four more. Schwarzenegger won large majorities in California's rural counties, the populous Southern California counties of San Diego, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, and Ventura, as well as populous Sacramento, Fresno, and Kern counties in the Central Valley. The results were closely contested in Los Angeles County and in Bay Area suburban counties. Angelides won substantially only in Alameda and San Francisco counties.
Contra Costa, Humboldt, Mendocino, Monterey, Napa, Santa Clara, Solano, Sonoma, and Yolo counties all voted for Schwarzenegger after voting No on the recall in 2003.

Democratic candidates

Republican candidates

Third-party and Independent candidates

Other sites with relevant information