C/2018 F4 (PanSTARRS)


C/2018 F4 is a hyperbolic comet. It was discovered on 17 March 2018 when it was beyond the orbit of Jupiter, from the Sun. It was quite far from the Sun and turned out to simply be an asteroidal object that was discovered before cometary activity was noticeable. As perihelion is inside the orbit of Jupiter, this object should become more active. In April 2018 it was determined to be a hyperbolic comet. Given that the incoming velocity was similar to that of an Oort cloud object, we can very confidently say that it is not of interstellar origin. C/2018 F4 fragmented around August 2020.

Overview

It would be no problem to fit a parabolic orbit to the C/2018 F4 data, as used to be done for most short arc comets. The orbital eccentricity is decently constrained at, so it could even be a closed orbit with an eccentricity below 1. The velocity of the object currently has an uncertainty of ±0.2 km/s. With a common Oort cloud velocity of roughly when inbound 200 AU from the Sun, there is no reason to think 2018 F4 is of interstellar origin.
It will come to perihelion around 3 December 2019 when it will be 3.4 AU from the Sun.
Further observations will be necessary to determine if the orbit is hyperbolic. As a comet this object became known as C/2018 F4.
The somewhat short observation arc of 35 days suggests that before entering the planetary region of the Solar System, the comet had an orbital period on the order of a hundred thousand years. The heliocentric eccentricity became greater than 1 in November 2016 when the comet was from the Sun.
ObjectYearVelocity
km/s
# of observations
and obs arc
90377 Sedna1746196 in 9240 days
C/1980 E1 (Bowell)1765179 in 2514 days
C/1997 P2 177994 in 49 days
C/2010 X1 (Elenin)17982,222 in 235 days
C/2012 S1 (ISON)18016,514 in 784 days
C/2008 J4 185522 in 15 days
C/2018 F41792402 in 967 days
C/1999 U2 194741 in 1 day
1I/2017 U1 (Oumuamua)1982121 in 34 days

At 200 AU from the Sun, the escape velocity from the Sun is 2.98 km/s. In the above table, the only outlier is Oumuamua with a confident 34-day observation arc. Comet C/2008 J4 has a short observation arc with large uncertainties. Comet C/1999 U2 has a meaningless 1-day observation arc. Comet C/2018 F4 has a common Oort cloud velocity when 200 AU from the Sun.