2023 Manitoba general election


The 2023 Manitoba general election was held on October 3, 2023, to elect 57 members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba. The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Wab Kinew, formed a majority government, defeating the two-term Progressive Conservative government. Following the election, Kinew became the second Indigenous premier of Manitoba and the first First Nations person to become premier of a Canadian province.
The incumbent Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba, led by Premier Heather Stefanson, had attempted to win a third term in government, having previously won the 2016 and 2019 elections under the leadership of Brian Pallister.

Background

Under Manitoba's Elections Act, a general election must be held no later than the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year following the previous election. As the previous election was held in 2019, the latest possible date for the election was October 3, 2023, which was the official election date. The election was held under first-past-the-post voting.
On August 10, 2021, incumbent premier Brian Pallister announced that he would not seek re-election and resigned shortly after. Members of the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba elected Heather Stefanson to succeed Premier Kelvin Goertzen, who served as interim leader of the party after Pallister's departure. During the previous legislature, the opposition NDP had gained a polling lead over the PCs. However, the lead tightened during the campaign period.

Campaign

Stefanson primarily campaigned on reducing the cost of living for Manitobans, crime, and parental rights in education. Kinew led the NDP into the election. The NDP campaign focused on healthcare reform and balancing the province's budget. Dougald Lamont led the Liberals and Janine Gibson led the Green Party, having been elected leader in March.
The PCs promoted the film industry in the province and in 2022 helped WestJet launch direct flights from Los Angeles to Winnipeg. The New Democrats focused on healthcare with a promise to improve cardiac services. They also pledged to install geothermal systems in thousands of homes. The Liberals campaigned on creating more benefits for seniors, including establishing a minimum income for people over 60. They also promised a new debt relief system if elected. The Manitoba Chambers of Commerce encouraged voters to prioritise the economy when voting.
During the final stages of the campaign, a point of contention was the proposed search of a Winnipeg landfill for the remains of the murdered Indigenous women Morgan Harris and Marcedes Myran. The PCs opposed the search, citing health and safety concerns. The Liberals and NDP supported a search. Most other Indigenous issues were reportedly side-lined during the campaign.
Other campaign issues included crime, agriculture and affordable housing.
Manitoba had not elected a minority government since 1988, so the media coverage was focused on the PCs and the NDP. In the final days of the campaign, the Manitoba government reported a surplus in the provincial budget worth $270 million.

Candidates

The PCs and New Democrats ran candidates in all 57 ridings, while the Liberals ran candidates in 49 and the Greens in 13, respectively.
CandidatesNDPPCLibGrnKPCommIndTotal
2448
334343031102
4161616742364
53333315
Total57574913553189

Timeline

2021

2022

  • January 18: Premier Heather Stefanson shuffles her cabinet.
  • March 22: Obby Khan is elected in the Fort Whyte by-election, replacing former Premier Brian Pallister. The Progressive Conservatives hold the seat narrowly.
  • June 6: Scott Fielding resigns as Minister of Natural Resources and Northern Development, Minister responsible for Manitoba Liquor and Lotteries and announces his intention to resign as MLA for Kirkfield Park.
  • June 6: Alan Lagimodiere is named acting Minister of Natural Resources and Northern Development, Minister responsible for Manitoba Liquor and Lotteries.
  • June 7: Eric Redhead is elected as the MLA for Thompson, holding the seat for the NDP.
  • June 17: Scott Fielding resigns as MLA for Kirkfield Park.
  • October 4: Ralph Eichler announces he will not seek re-election as MLA for Lakeside.
  • December 16: Ian Wishart announces he will not seek re-election as MLA for Portage La Prairie.

2023

  • January 15: Cathy Cox announces she Will not seek re-election as MLA for Kildonan River East.
  • January 27: Cameron Friesen announces his resignation as finance minister and MLA to seek federal Conservative nomination for Portage—Lisgar.
  • January 30: Cliff Cullen is appointed as finance minister and retains Deputy Premier role.
  • June 13: Sarah Guillemard announces she will not seek re-election as MLA for Fort Richmond.

Results

Results were formally declared on October 3, the night of the election. The NDP only finished four percentage points ahead of the Tories on the popular vote. However, they dominated Winnipeg, taking all but three seats in the capital. Eight members of Stefanson's cabinet were defeated, all in Winnipeg-based ridings. Stefanson herself was nearly defeated in her historically safe seat of Tuxedo, surviving by less than three percentage points.
!rowspan="2" colspan="2"|Party
!rowspan="2"|Leader
!rowspan="2"|Candidates
!colspan="5"|Seats
!colspan="4"|Popular vote
!2019
!Dissolution
!Elected
!%
!+/–
!Votes
!%
!Change

Analysis

Parties1st2nd3rd4th5th
34221
22305
14386
12
5
49
23

Aftermath

Liberal leader Dougald Lamont resigned on election night following a dismal performance for his party. Both he and Jon Gerrard lost their seats to NDP challengers, leaving Cindy Lamoureux as the sole Liberal in the legislative assembly. Outgoing premier and PC leader Heather Stefanson also announced her resignation as party leader on election night.

Marginal seats

Previous marginal seats

Seats in the 2019 general election which were won by under 10%

New marginal seats

Seats in this general election which were won by under 10%.