2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary
The 2016 Virginia Republican presidential primary was held on March 1, 2016, as part of the 2016 Republican Party primaries for the 2016 presidential election. 49 delegates from Virginia to the Republican National Convention were allocated proportionally based on the popular vote. Donald Trump edged out a narrow plurality of pledged delegates, with Marco Rubio coming in second place and Ted Cruz placing in a distant third.
The Virginia Democratic primary occurred on the same day.
Polling
Winner: Donald TrumpPrimary date: March 1, 2016
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
| March 1, 2016 | Donald Trump 34.80% | Marco Rubio 31.98% | Ted Cruz 16.69% | John Kasich 9.54%, Ben Carson 5.87%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Mike Huckabee 0.14%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Jim Gilmore 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, Rick Santorum 0.04% | |
| CBS/YouGov Margin of error: ± 8.6% Sample size: 481 | February 22–26, 2016 | Donald Trump 40% | Marco Rubio 27% | Ted Cruz 22% | John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 4%, Undecided 1% |
| Monmouth University Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 421 | February 22–24, 2016 | Donald Trump 41% | Marco Rubio 27% | Ted Cruz 14% | John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 7%, Undecided 4% |
| Roanoke College Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 466 | February 16–24, 2016 | Donald Trump 38% | Ted Cruz 15% | Marco Rubio 13% | John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 19% |
| Christopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 368 | February 3–14, 2016 | Donald Trump 28% | Marco Rubio 22% | Ted Cruz 19% | Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 7%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6% |
| University of Mary Washington Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 333 | November 4–9, 2015 | Ben Carson 29% | Donald Trump 24% | Marco Rubio 11% | Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Don't know 2% |
| Christopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 412 | September 29 – October 8, 2015 | Donald Trump 23% | Ben Carson 17% | Marco Rubio 14% | Carly Fiorina 13%, Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Jim Gilmore <1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 5% |
| Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 546 | August 2–3, 2015 | Donald Trump 27.9% | Jeb Bush 14.8% | Scott Walker 10.1% | Ben Carson 8%, Carly Fiorina 6.8%, Ted Cruz 6.4%, Rand Paul 5.1%, Marco Rubio 3.5%, John Kasich 3.2%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Rick Perry 2.3%, Mike Huckabee 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, George Pataki 0.7%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.2% |
| Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 502 | July 13–15, 2015 | Jeb Bush 18% | Donald Trump 14% | Scott Walker 14% | Ben Carson 10%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else/Not sure 3% |
| Christopher Newport University Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: ? | April 13–24, 2015 | Jeb Bush 17% | Marco Rubio 16% | Chris Christie 10% | Rand Paul 10%, Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Donald Trump 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich <1%, Rick Perry <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Someone else <1%, Undecided 7% |
| Christopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 794 | January 30 – February 10, 2015 | Jeb Bush 21% | Scott Walker 16% | Chris Christie 10% | Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 5%, Ted Cruz 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Pence 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rob Portman 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 4% |
| Christopher Newport University Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 338 | February 23–28, 2014 | Chris Christie 19% | Jeb Bush 18% | Mike Huckabee 13% | Paul Ryan 13%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rand Paul 7%, Marco Rubio 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Undecided 13% |
| University of Mary Washington Margin of error: ±? Sample size: ? | September 25–29, 2013 | Chris Christie 20% | Jeb Bush 10% | Rand Paul 10% | Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, None 14%, Don't know 19% |
| Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.8% Sample size: 415 | July 11–14, 2013 | Jeb Bush 16% | Chris Christie 16% | Rand Paul 15% | Marco Rubio 12%, Paul Ryan 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Bob McDonnell 8%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 7% |
| Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 500 | May 24–26, 2013 | Marco Rubio 17% | Chris Christie 15% | Jeb Bush 14% | Bob McDonnell 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 11% |
| Public Policy Polling Margin of error: ±4.4% Sample size: 500 | May 24–26, 2013 | Chris Christie 20% | Marco Rubio 20% | Jeb Bush 17% | Paul Ryan 10%, Rand Paul 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10% |
| University of Mary Washington Margin of error: ±3.5 Sample size: 1004 | March 20–24, 2013 | Chris Christie 18% | Bob McDonnell 12% | Rand Paul 11% | Paul Ryan 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Other 1%, None 10%, Don't know 16% |