2014 MV67
is a Mars-crosser and former lost asteroid with an observation arc of less than 1 day. Before its recovery, it had an assumed orbital eccentricity and a very poorly constrained orbit. Depending on the orbit, it could have been a potentially hazardous asteroid, roughly in diameter, or it could turn out to be a Mars-crosser or even a main-belt asteroid as were the cases with and. It was recovered by Pan-STARRS in September 2021 and is now known to be a Mars-crossing asteroid.
Description
Main belt asteroids can have perihelia as low as 1.7 AU. The 22 March 2022 impact scenario was 87,000 times lower than the background threat generated by unknown asteroids. It was removed from the Sentry Risk Table on 15 April 2021 when JPL transitioned to planetary ephemeris DE441.It was discovered on 24 June 2014, when the asteroid was estimated to be from Earth and had a solar elongation of 161 degrees.
The 22 March 2018 and 3 April 2019 virtual impactors did not occur. The uncertainty region of wraps around the entire orbit so the asteroid could be anywhere on any of the numerous orbit fits. It could be near aphelion ~3 AU from the Sun. The asteroid was not expected to be near Earth anytime during 2019.
With an almost meaningless 1-day observation arc, the Sentry [Risk Table] showed an estimated 1 in 3 billion chance of the asteroid impacting Earth on 22 March 2022, which was 87,000 times lower than the background threat. The nominal JPL Horizons 22 March 2022 Earth distance is with a 3-sigma uncertainty of. NEODyS also lists the nominal 22 March 2022 Earth distance as. And again it is not expected to be near Earth anytime during 2022.
| Date | Impact probability | JPL Horizons nominal geocentric distance | NEODyS nominal geocentric distance | Minor [Planet Center|MPC] nominal geocentric distance | Find_Orb nominal geocentric distance | uncertainty region |
| 2018-03-22 | 1.9 billion | ±600 million km | ||||
| 2019-04-03 | 2.1 billion | ±600 million km | ||||
| 2022-03-22 | removed | ±3 billion km | ||||
| 2025-03-26 | removed | ±2 billion km |