Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is a book by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner released in 2015. It details findings from The Good Judgment Project.Reviews
The Economist reports that superforecasters are clever, but not necessarily geniuses. It reports on the treasure trove of data coming from The Good Judgment Project, showing that accurately selected amateur forecasters were often more accurately tuned than experts. According to The Wall Street Journal, Superforecasting is "The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow." The Harvard Business Review paired it to the book The Power of Mathematical Thinking by Jordan Ellenberg.
