2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan


The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan. The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19. The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008 [United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan|2008]. This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district. Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points. That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved.

District 1

The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula, including Traverse City. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Jack Bergman.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Bob Lorinser, physician

    Results

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Results

District 2

The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan from Manistee to northern Muskegon County, includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs in Kent county, and parts of Central Michigan, including Mount Pleasant and western Midland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar of the 4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020. The winner was John Moolenaar.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. representative
    Eliminated in primary
  • Tom Norton, veteran

    Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

Results

District 3

The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and includes Grand Rapids, Muskegon, and parts of Ottawa County. The incumbent was Republican Peter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidate John Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.
In the final days of the primary, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategy—controversial within the Democratic Party—was based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat, which following the 2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district. Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Polling

Peter Meijer vs. Hillary Scholten

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Peter
Meijer
Hillary
Scholten
Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 25–26, 2022676 ± 3.8%37%39%24%

Results

District 4

The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities of Kalamazoo and Holland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Republican Bill Huizenga of the 2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020, and Republican Fred Upton of the 6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020. Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term. The winner was Bill Huizenga.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joseph Alfonso, member of the Michigan State Plumbing Board, non-profit treasurer, and U.S. Marine Corps veteran
    Withdrawn
  • Chris Glasser

    Endorsements

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 5

The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border with Indiana and Ohio and includes the cities of Three Rivers, Jackson, and Monroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg of the 7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Tim Walberg.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. representative
    Eliminated in primary
  • Sherry O'Donnell, osteopathic physician

    Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Bart Goldberg, attorney

    Results

General election

Endorsements

Predictions

Results

District 6

The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking in Washtenaw County, parts of Wayne and Oakland counties, including the cities of Ann Arbor, Canton, Novi, and Ypsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell of the 12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Debbie Dingell.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

Results

District 7

The 7th district is based around the Lansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includes Livingston County and a small part of Oakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin of the 8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020.
In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history. In October 2022, the SlotkinBarrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide. The winner was Elissa Slotkin.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

General election

Predictions

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Elissa
Slotkin
Tom
Barrett
Undecided
Margin
FiveThirtyEightApril 10 – November 2, 2022November 3, 202247.7%44.3%8.0%Slotkin +3.4

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Elissa
Slotkin
Tom
Barrett
OtherUndecided
Mitchell ResearchNovember 2, 2022402 ± 4.9%48%48%4%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.October 18–20, 2022400 ± 4.9%47%41%4%8%
Target InsyghtSeptember 12–14, 2022500 ± 4.5%56%38%6%
Cygnal June 14–16, 2022400 ± 4.7%44%46%10%
Slingshot Strategies April 10–15, 2022600 ± 4.0%40%34%4%19%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
OtherUndecided
Cygnal June 14–16, 2022400 ± 4.7%39%50%10%
Slingshot Strategies April 10–15, 2022600 ± 4.0%39%39%4%16%
Cygnal November 17–18, 2021414 ± 4.8%41%51%8%

Results

District 8

The 8th district centers around the Saginaw Bay and includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, and Midland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee of the 5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Dan Kildee.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. representative

    Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Presumptive nominee
  • David Canny

    General election

Endorsements

Predictions

Polling

Results

District 9

The 9th district is based in The Thumb region, including Port Huron as well as the northern Detroit exurbs in Oakland and Macomb counties. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Lisa McClain formerly of the 10th congressional district, who was elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Lisa McClain.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Lisa McClain, incumbent U.S. representative
    Eliminated in primary
  • Michelle Donovan, attorney

    Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Brian Jaye, attorney

    Results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 10

The 10th district is based primarily in southeastern Michigan's Macomb County, taking in Warren and Sterling Heights, as well as a small portion of eastern Oakland County. Due to redistricting after the 2020 census, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was John James.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

Results

General election

Predictions

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Carl
Marlinga
John
James
Undecided
Margin
FiveThirtyEightJanuary 26 – October 18, 2022October 30, 202239.2%44.7%16.1%James +5.5

Graphical summary

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Carl
Marlinga
John
James
OtherUndecided
Target Insyght October 16–18, 2022400 ± 5.0%44%42%14%
The Glengariff Group, Inc.October 4–6, 2022400 ± 4.9%36%44%5%13%
Mitchell Research August 16–21, 2022429 ± 4.7%38%47%15%
Target Insyght August 16–18, 2022400 ± 5.0%47%45%8%
Target Insyght May 24–27, 2022400 ± 5.0%44%40%16%
The Tarrance Group April 24–26, 2022400 ± 4.9%41%47%12%
Target Insyght March 202248%45%7%
Target InsyghtJanuary 25–27, 2022500 ± 4.5%46%43%11%

Carl Marlinga vs. Eric Esshaki

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Carl
Marlinga
Eric
Esshaki
Undecided
Target InsyghtJanuary 25–27, 2022500 ± 4.5%52%31%17%

Andy Levin vs. John James

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Andy
Levin
John
James
Undecided
Cygnal November 17–18, 2021413 ± 4.8%42%50%

Haley Stevens vs. John James

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Haley
Stevens
John
James
Undecided
Cygnal November 17–18, 2021413 ± 4.8%41%50%

Michael Taylor vs. Eric Esshaki

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Michael
Taylor
Eric
Esshaki
Undecided
Target InsyghtJanuary 25–27, 2022500 ± 4.5%39%34%27%

Michael Taylor vs. John James

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Michael
Taylor
John
James
Undecided
Target InsyghtJanuary 25–27, 2022500 ± 4.5%46%42%13%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Generic
Democrat
Generic
Republican
Undecided
Cygnal November 17–18, 2021413 ± 4.8%42%49%

Results

District 11

The 11th district is based solely in Oakland County and includes the cities of Royal Oak and Pontiac. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Democrat Haley Stevens, who was re-elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2020, and Democrat Andy Levin of the 9th congressional district, who was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Haley Stevens.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Haley Stevens, incumbent U.S. representative
    Eliminated in primary
  • Andy Levin, incumbent U.S. representative

    Endorsements

Polling

Debate

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Ambrose, financial analyst
    Eliminated in primary
  • Matthew DenOtter, realtor

    Results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 12

The 12th district is based in northern Wayne County and includes the cities of Dearborn and Southfield. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Brenda Lawrence of the 14th congressional district, who was re-elected with 79.3% of the vote in 2020. On January 4, 2022, Lawrence announced that she would not seek re-election. Subsequently, Democrat Rashida Tlaib of the 13th congressional district announced she would be running in the district. Tlaib was re-elected in 2020 with 78.1% of the vote. The winner was Rashida Tlaib.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Steven Elliott, businessman
    Eliminated in primary
  • James Hooper, tradesman
  • Hassan Nehme, auto worker

    Endorsements

Results

General election

Predictions

Results

District 13

The 13th district is based solely in Wayne County and includes most of Detroit and the cities of Taylor and Romulus. Due to redistricting, this was an open district with no incumbent. The winner was Shri Thanedar.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Polling


Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Hansen
Clarke
John
Shawna
Diggs
Sherry
Ralph
Godbee
Michael
Griffie
Adam
Hollier
Angela
McIntosh
Sharon
McPhail
Sam
Riddle
Portia
Roberson
Lorrie
Rutledge
Shri
Thanedar
Adrian
Tonon
Undecided
Target InsyghtJuly 19–22, 2022500 ± 4.5%7%5%5%16%7%4%17%0%22%16%
Target InsyghtMay 3–5, 2022600 ± 4.0%15%9%2%6%0%20%2%9%0%12%0%25%
Public Policy Polling March 21–22, 2022463 ± 4.6%19%6%5%0%6%9%4%7%0%43%
Target Insyght February 22–24, 2022600 ± 4.0%7%11%0%6%24%1%7%12%31%
Target Insyght January 18–20, 2022600 ± 4.0%23%0%11%1%4%5%25%7%7%16%

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Martell Bivings, policy analyst

    Results

General election

Predictions

Endorsements

Results