List of predicted asteroid impacts on Earth


This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance, which are cataloged by the Center for Near-Earth Object Studies.
, all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.
Asteroid
designation
Date & time
of discovery
Discoverer
Estimated sizeAbs.
mag.
Date & time
of impact
Warning time
Location of impactAirburst altitude
Energy
Method of
impact detection
Reference
2008-10-06 06:39
Mt. Lemmon Survey
30.722008-10-07 02:45
20:05
20.9 N, 31.8 E
Nubian Desert in Sudan

1 kt
visual, weather satellite,
meteorite recovery
2014-01-01 06:18
Mt. Lemmon Survey
30.95 2014-01-02 03:04
20:46
13.1 N, 44.2 W
Central Atlantic Ocean

?
infrasound
2018-06-02 08:14
Mt. Lemmon Survey
30.552018-06-02 16:44
08:29
21.3 S, 23.3 E
Botswana/South Africa border

0.3–0.5 kt
visual, infrasound,
meteorite recovery
2019-06-22 09:49
ATLAS-MLO
29.122019-06-22 21:25
11:36
14.9 N, 66.2 W
Caribbean Sea near Puerto Rico

6 kt
visual, infrasound,
weather satellite & radar
2022-03-11 19:24
GINOP-KHK
31.332022-03-11 21:22
01:58
70.0 N, 9.1 W
Jan Mayen, northern Atlantic Ocean

4 kt
visual, infrasound
2022-11-19 04:53
Mt. Lemmon Survey
33.582022-11-19 08:26
03:33
43.0 N, 81.7 W
Ontario, Canada

?
visual, radar
2023-02-12 20:18
GINOP-KHK
32.722023-02-13 02:59
06:41
49.8 N, 0.4 E
Northwestern France

?
visual, meteorite recovery
2024-01-20 21:48
GINOP-KHK
<32.712024-01-21 00:32
02:44
52.6 N, 12.6 E
Berlin, Germany

?
visual, meteorite recovery
2024-09-04 05:43
Mt. Lemmon Survey
32.202024-09-04 16:39
10:55
18.0 N, 122.9 E
Pacific Ocean near Luzon, Philippines

0.2 kt
visual
2024-10-22 09:08
ATLAS-HKO
32.66 2024-10-22 10:54
01:46
30.0 N, 136.0 W
Eastern Pacific

0.15 kt
weather satellite
2024-12-03 05:55
Kitt Peak-Bok
32.952024-12-03 16:14
10:19
60.9 N, 119.5 E
Eastern Siberia

?
visual