2024 United States Senate election in Florida


The 2024 United States Senate election in Florida was held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Florida. Incumbent Republican Senator Rick Scott won a second term, defeating Democratic nominee Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. The primary election was held on August 20, 2024.
Scott, then the governor of Florida, was first elected to the U.S. Senate in 2018 [United States Senate election in Florida|2018] by 0.12 points, defeating then-incumbent Bill Nelson. With the benefit of incumbency and the state's rightward trend, most political pundits considered the race to be favoring Scott to win re-election. On Election Day, Scott won by 12.78 percentage points, a significantly larger margin than most pre-election polls had suggested.
Out of all of Scott’s four statewide races, this election was by far his best performance, and the first one he won decisively, as he narrowly won the previous three all by less than a 2% margin. Scott won majority-Hispanic or Latino counties in the United States|majority-Hispanic] Miami-Dade and Osceola counties, as well as St. Lucie County for the first time in all of his statewide races, and according to exit polls Scott won 55% of Hispanic voters and also won 21% of African American voters.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Fundraising

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Fundraising

Polling

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Alan
Grayson
Powell		Undecided
Mainstreet Research/FAUJune 8–9, 2024346 ± 3.3%12%43%45%

Results

Independents and third-party candidates

Candidates

Declared

Predictions

Post-primary endorsements

Polling

Aggregate polls

Rick Scott vs. Phil Ehr
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Rick
Scott 		Phil
Ehr 		OtherUndecided
Change Research June 27–29, 20231,298 –45%41%3%11%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Scott won 20 of 28 congressional districts.
DistrictScottMucarsel-PowellRepresentative
69%29%Matt Gaetz
60%38%Neal Dunn
60%38%Kat Cammack
55%43%Aaron Bean
60%38%John Rutherford
63%35%Michael Waltz
55%43%Cory Mills
59%38%Bill Posey
59%38%Mike Haridopolos
48%50%Darren Soto
38%59%Maxwell Frost
58%41%Daniel Webster
64%34%Gus Bilirakis
54%44%Anna Paulina Luna
46%53%Kathy Castor
54%44%Laurel Lee
57%42%Vern Buchanan
62%37%Greg Steube
63%35%Scott Franklin
67%32%Byron Donalds
28%70%Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick
57%42%Brian Mast
46%53%Lois Frankel
47%51%Jared Moskowitz
33%65%Frederica Wilson
45%54%Debbie Wasserman Schultz
68%31%Mario Díaz-Balart
56%42%María Elvira Salazar
61%38%Carlos A. Giménez