2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in California were held on November [|5], 2024, to elect the [|52] U.S. representatives from the State of California, one from all 52 of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.
House Majority PAC, a super PAC affiliated with the Democratic Party, announced that it would target four California Republicans in 2024: Mike Garcia of the 27th district, Young Kim of the 40th district, Ken Calvert of the 41st district, and Michelle Steel of the 45th district. Garcia, Kim, and Steel all represent districts that Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election, while Calvert's district narrowly voted for Donald Trump. There were two other California Republicans who represent Biden-won districts, John Duarte of the 13th district and David Valadao of the 22nd district. The 13th, 22nd and 40th districts flipped to Trump in the 2024 presidential election, with Duarte losing to Adam Gray in a split ticket vote. Several California Republicans received assistance from Protect the House 2024, a joint fundraising committee launched by former U.S. Speaker of the House and California Republican Kevin McCarthy to support vulnerable House Republicans. Among the representatives included in the committee were Duarte, Valadao, Garcia, Calvert, and Steel, as well as Kevin Kiley of the 3rd district.

Overview

Results by district: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 [|9] [|10] [|11] [|12] [|13] [|14] [|15] [|16] [|17] [|18] [|19] [|20] [|21] [|22] [|23] [|24] [|25] [|26] [|27] [|28] [|29] [|30] [|31] [|32] [|33] [|34] [|35] [|36] [|37] [|38] [|39] [|40] [|41] [|42] [|43] [|44] [|45] [|46] [|47] [|48] [|49] [|50] [|51] 52

District [|1]

The incumbent was Republican Doug LaMalfa, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.1% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Doug LaMalfa, incumbent U.S. representative
Rose Penelope Yee, financial advisor

Eliminated in primary

Mike Doran, Shasta Union High School District board member

Endorsements

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Political parties

;Organizations

;Labor unions

IBEW Local 1245

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Labor unions

California Federation of Labor

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February [\|2], 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 2

The incumbent was Democrat Jared Huffman, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 74.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Chris Coulombe, cannabis executive and candidate for this district in 2022
Jared Huffman, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Jason Brisendine, businessman
Tief Gibbs, office manager
Jolian Kangas, automotive business owner

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Republican Party

;Organizations

;Political parties
American Independent Party
;Political parties
California Democratic Party
;Organizations

California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Friends of the Earth Action
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
League of Conservation Voters
Natural Resources Defense Council

;Labor unions

;NewspapersMarin Independent Journal

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District [|3]

The incumbent was Republican Kevin Kiley, who was elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Kevin Kiley, incumbent U.S. representative
Jessica Morse, former deputy secretary of the California Natural Resources Agency and runner-up for the in 2018

Eliminated in primary

Robert Smith, operational programs director

Endorsements

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties
American Independent Party
California Republican Party

;U.S. representatives
Lois Frankel, U.S. representative from Florida
;Political parties
California Democratic Party
Sacramento County Democratic Party
;Organizations

California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
EMILY's List

J Street '
Jewish Democratic Council of America '
National Women's Political Caucus
Natural Resources Defense Council '
NewDem Action Fund '
Planned Parenthood Action Fund '
Reproductive Freedom for All

;Labor unions

California Federation of Labor
California Teachers Association
IBEW Locals 340 and 1245
National Education Association
SEIU Local 1021
SEIU United Healthcare Workers West
Service Employees International Union California

;NewspapersThe Sacramento Bee

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="4"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	February 23, 2023	-
Elections Daily	March 22, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District [|4]

The incumbent was Democrat Mike Thompson, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 67.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

John Munn, former Davis Joint Unified School District trustee and perennial candidate
Mike Thompson, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Andrew Engdahl, tech sales account executive and candidate for this district in 2022
Niket Patwardhan, software engineer

Endorsements

;Political parties

Green Party of Sonoma County

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;U.S. representatives

Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from

;Political parties

California Democratic Party
Yolo County Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 5

The incumbent was Republican Tom McClintock, who had represented the district since 2009 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Mike Barkley, attorney, perennial candidate, and runner-up for this district in 2022
Tom McClintock, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Steve Wozniak, freelance writer and candidate for this district in 2022 ''''

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

California Young Democrats

;Labor unions

California Federation of Labor
IBEW Local 684

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Political parties

;Organizations

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District [|6]

The incumbent was Democrat Ami Bera, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 55.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Ami Bera, incumbent U.S. representative
Christine Bish, realtor, runner-up for this district in 2020 and candidate in 2022

Eliminated in primary

Adam Barajas, retail worker
Craig DeLuz, Robla school board member
Chris Richardson, engineer and candidate for this district in 2018, 2020, and 2022
Ray Riehle, businessman

Withdrawn

Bret Daniels, vice mayor of Citrus Heights and candidate for this district in 2022 ''''

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party
Sacramento County Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;NewspapersThe Sacramento Bee

;Organizations

;Political parties

American Independent Party

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Republican Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 7

The incumbent was Democrat Doris Matsui, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 68.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Doris Matsui, incumbent U.S. representative
Tom Silva, former Galt Joint Union Elementary School District trustee

Eliminated in primary

David Mandel, attorney

Endorsements

;Political parties

;Organizations

;Labor unions
AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
California Teachers Association
IBEW Locals 340 and 1245
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 7
National Education Association
National Union of Healthcare Workers
;NewspapersThe Sacramento Bee

;Local officials
Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor
;Organizations

California College Republicans
California ProLife Council

California Rifle and Pistol Association '

;Political parties

California Republican Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District [|8]

The incumbent was Democrat John Garamendi, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 75.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidate

Advanced to general

John Garamendi, incumbent U.S. representative
Rudy Recile, consultant and runner-up for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

National Education Association
National Union of Healthcare Workers
Service Employees International Union California, Local 1021, and SEIU United Healthcare Workers West

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

American Independent Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 9

The incumbent was Democrat Josh Harder, who had represented the district since 2019 and was re-elected with 54.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Josh Harder, incumbent U.S. representative
Kevin Lincoln, mayor of Stockton

Eliminated in primary

Khalid Jafri, retired engineer and Democratic candidate for this district in 2022
John McBride, strength and conditioning coach

Withdrawn

Brett Dood, pastor ''''

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

AIPAC
Bend the Arc
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Council for a Livable World
End Citizens United
Equality California
Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund
Feminist Majority PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Population Connection Action Fund
Sierra Club

;Labor unions

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Republican Party

;Organizations

;Political parties

American Independent Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="3"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	June 20, 2024	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	February 23, 2023	-
Elections Daily		March 22, 2024
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Josh Harder	Kevin Lincoln	Undecided
NMB Research	February 18–20, 2024	400	± 2.0%	40%	44%	16%

District 10

The incumbent was Democrat Mark DeSaulnier, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 78.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Mark DeSaulnier, incumbent U.S. representative
Katherine Piccinini, property manager and write-in candidate for this district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

Nolan Chen, systems engineer
Mohamed Elsherbini, travel agency owner
Joe Sweeney, businessman

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

California ProLife Council

;Political parties

American Independent Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 11

The incumbent was Democrat Nancy Pelosi, who was re-elected with 84.0% of the vote in 2022. Later that year, Pelosi announced she would step down from House leadership. Pelosi announced that she would seek re-election in 2024.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Bruce Lou, business owner
Nancy Pelosi, incumbent U.S. representative and former Speaker of the House

Eliminated in primary

Jason Boyce, software engineer
Eve Del Castello, business consultant and candidate for this district in 2022
Marjorie Mikels, attorney
Larry Nichelson, retired teacher
Bianca Von Krieg, actress and candidate for this district in 2022
Jason Zeng, data engineer

Endorsements

;Organizations

Vote Common Good

;Officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
California Teachers Association
IBEW Locals 6 and 1245
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 7
National Education Association
National Union of Healthcare Workers
SEIU Local 1021

;NewspapersSan Francisco Chronicle

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 12

The incumbent was Democrat Barbara Lee, who was re-elected with 90.5% of the vote in 2022. She did not seek re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Lateefah Simon, president of the Bay Area Rapid Transit Board of Directors and California State University trustee
Jennifer Tran, California State University East Bay professor and president of the Oakland Vietnamese Chamber of Commerce

Eliminated in primary

Tony Daysog, vice mayor of Alameda and candidate for the 10th district in 2014
Glenn Kaplan, bar owner and candidate for this district in 2022
Ned Nuerge, retired driving instructor, LaRouchite, and candidate for this district in 2022
Abdur Sikder, San Francisco State University professor
Stephen Slauson, electrical engineer and runner-up for this district in 2022
Andre Todd, financial executive and former National Football League player
Eric Wilson, nonprofit employee and candidate for this district in 2022

Withdrawn

Tim Sanchez, Boeing executive

Declined

Nikki Fortunato Bas, president of the Oakland City Council
Mia Bonta, state assemblywoman from the 18th district '
Dan Kalb, Oakland city councilor from the 1st district '
Barbara Lee, incumbent U.S. representative '
Libby Schaaf, former mayor of Oakland '
Buffy Wicks, state assemblywoman from the 14th district ''''

Endorsements

;Political parties

American Independent Party

;U.S. representatives

Robert Garcia, U.S. representative from CA-42
Kevin Mullin, U.S. representative from CA-15

;Statewide officials

;State legislators

Mia Bonta, state assemblywoman from the 18th district
Nancy Skinner, state senator from the 9th district
Buffy Wicks, state assemblywoman from the 14th district

;Local officials

Libby Schaaf, former mayor of Oakland

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

Actors' Equity Association
AFSCME California
Alameda County Building and Construction Trades Council
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
California Teachers Association
IBEW Locals 595 and 1245
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 7
National Education Association
National Nurses United
National Union of Healthcare Workers
SEIU Local 1021
SEIU United Healthcare Workers West
Service Employees International Union California
United Auto Workers

;NewspapersBay Area ReporterEast Bay TimesThe Mercury NewsSan Francisco Chronicle

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;U.S. representatives

Grace Meng, U.S. representative from NY-6

;Organizations

ASPIRE PAC~~LPAC~~

;U.S. representatives

Lou Correa, U.S. representative from CA-46
Andrea Salinas, U.S. representative from OR-06
Linda Sánchez, U.S. representative from CA-38

;Organizations

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Lateefah Simon	Jennifer Tran	Other	Undecided
USC/CSU	September 14–21, 2024	510	± 4.3%	41%	27%	3%	32%

District 13

The incumbent was Republican John Duarte, who flipped the district and was elected with 50.2% of the vote in 2022. This was a rematch between the candidates from 2022 where Duarte previously defeated Gray by a slim margin. This was the closest House race in 2024 and one of the last to be called due to the close margin, California's state law allowing ballots to arrive a week after the election, and a high quantity of absentee votes which must be cured.
Ceres Courier erroneously declared Duarte the winner on November 13th claiming high confidence that the remaining vote total wouldn't allow Gray to overtake Duarte's lead of roughly 3,000 votes. Most networks declared Gray the winner in early December.
Republican Donald Trump carried the district by 5.4% in the concurrent presidential election.

Candidates

Advanced to general

John Duarte, incumbent U.S. representative
Adam Gray, former state assemblyman from the 21st district and runner-up for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Political parties

California Republican Party

;Organizations

;U.S. representatives

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Teachers Association
Fresno-Madera-Kings-Tulare Building Trades Council
IBEW Locals 684 and 1245
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 7
National Education Association

Primary election

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Duarte	Phil Arballo	Adam Gray	Other/Undecided
RMG Research	November 14–19, 2023	300	± 5.7%	21%	2%	21%	55%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		February 2, 2023
Inside Elections		October 18, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 4, 2024
Elections Daily		November 4, 2024
CNalysis		November 4, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	John Duarte	Adam Gray	Undecided
USC/CSU	September 14–21, 2024	311	± 5.6%	45%	46%	9%

District 14

The incumbent was Democrat Eric Swalwell, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Vin Kruttiventi, engineer
Eric Swalwell, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Alison Hayden, teacher and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
Luis Reynoso, Chabot–Las Positas Community College District trustee

Endorsements

;Political parties

American Independent Party

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Republican Party

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

AIPAC
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
Planned Parenthood Action Fund

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 15

The incumbent was Democrat Kevin Mullin, who had represented the district since 2023. He was elected with 55.5% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Anna Cheng Kramer, housing policy advisor
Kevin Mullin, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

AFSCME California
Association of Flight Attendants
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
California Teachers Association
IBEW Locals 617 and 1245
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 7
National Nurses United
National Union of Healthcare Workers
SEIU Local 1021
SEIU United Healthcare Workers West

;NewspapersSan Francisco Bay View

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 16

The incumbent was Democrat Anna Eshoo, who was re-elected with 57.8% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. She did not seek re-election. Former San Jose mayor Sam Liccardo advanced to the general election a week after the primary. His challenger was state assemblyman Evan Low.
By April 3, Low and Santa Clara County supervisor Joe Simitian were tied with 30,249 votes each, and were expected to advance to the general election under a stipulation by California elections code regarding a second-place tie in primary elections. However, a recount was requested by two voters shortly thereafter. The recount request was controversial, with Low's campaign accusing Liccardo of being behind it. At the conclusion of the recount on May 1, Low ultimately edged out Simitian by a margin of 5 votes, with Low gaining 12 votes and Simitian 7.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Sam Liccardo, former mayor of San Jose
Evan Low, state assemblyman from the 26th district

Initially advanced to general but eliminated after recount

Joe Simitian, Santa Clara County supervisor from the 5th district and former state senator from the 11th district

Eliminated in primary

Joby Bernstein, financial advisor and graduate student
Peter Dixon, cybersecurity executive and former U.S. State Department staffer
Rishi Kumar, former Saratoga city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
Julie Lythcott-Haims, Palo Alto city councilor
Ahmed Mostafa, attorney
Peter Ohtaki, former mayor of Menlo Park and candidate for this district in 2022
Karl Ryan, businessman
Greg Tanaka, Palo Alto city councilor and candidate for this district in 2022

Declined

Josh Becker, state senator from the 13th district
Marc Berman, state assemblyman from the 23rd district
Anna Eshoo, incumbent U.S. representative ''''

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 17

The incumbent was Democrat Ro Khanna, who was re-elected with 70.9% of the vote in 2022. Khanna had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate, but instead chose not to run and endorsed Barbara Lee.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Anita Chen, teacher
Ro Khanna, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Joe Dehn, chair of the Santa Clara County Libertarian Party, former secretary of the Libertarian National Committee, and candidate for this district in 2020 and 2022
Mario Ramirez, photographer
Ritesh Tandon, software engineer and Republican runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Libertarian Party

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 18

The incumbent was Democrat Zoe Lofgren, who was re-elected with 65.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Peter Hernandez, former chair of the San Benito County Board of Supervisors and runner-up for this district in 2022
Zoe Lofgren, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Luele Kifle, IT consultant
Lawrence Milan, bartender
Charlene Nijmeh, chair of the Muwekma Ohlone Tribe

Declined

Sam Liccardo, former mayor of San Jose ''''

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Political parties

;Organizations

Vote Common Good

;U.S. representatives

Hakeem Jeffries, and House Minority Leader
Nancy Pelosi, and former Speaker of the House

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 19

The incumbent was Democrat Jimmy Panetta, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 68.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Jason Anderson, auto repair shop owner
Jimmy Panetta, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Sean Dougherty, engineer

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

American Independent Party

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 20

The incumbent was Republican Kevin McCarthy, who was re-elected with 67.2% of the vote in 2022. McCarthy resigned on December 31, 2023, after his removal as Speaker of the House. A special election was held in May 2024 to fill McCarthy's vacant seat, which was won by Vince Fong, a state assemblyman who had formerly served as McCarthy's district director.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Mike Boudreaux, Tulare County sheriff and runner-up in the May 2024 special election for this district '
Vince Fong, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

James Cardoza, realtor '
Ben Dewell, meteorologist and Democratic candidate for this district in 2022
Stan Ellis, farmer
Kyle Kirkland, casino owner and chairman of the board for Fresno Chaffee Zoo
Kelly Kulikoff, mayor of California City
Andy Morales, security officer
Matt Stoll, landscaping business owner and candidate for the 21st district in 2022
Marisa Wood, teacher and runner-up for this district in 2022

Withdrawn

John Burrows, spokesman for Fresno city councilor Nelson Esparza '
TJ Esposito, businessman '
David Giglio, businessman and candidate for the 13th district in 2022 '
Kevin McCarthy, former U.S. Representative and former Speaker of the House '

Declined

Garry Bredefeld, Fresno city councilor
Tal Eslick, political consultant and former chief of staff for U.S. Representative David Valadao
Shannon Grove, state senator for the 12th district and former senate minority leader
Devon Mathis, state assemblyman for the 33rd district
Jim Patterson, state assemblyman for the 32nd district, former mayor of Fresno, and candidate for this district in 2002 and the in 2010
Cole Rajewski, political consultant and former chief of staff for U.S. Representative David Valadao
Pete Vander Poel, Tulare County supervisor ''''

Endorsements

;U.S. executive branch officials

Richard Grenell, acting Director of National Intelligence, U.S. Ambassador to Germany

;U.S. representatives

Connie Conway, former U.S. representative from

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;State legislators

Shannon Grove, state senator for the 12th district and former senate minority leader
Devon Mathis, state assemblyman for the 33rd district
Andy Vidak, former state senator for the 14th district

;Individuals

Kash Patel, former Trump aide

;Organizations

;Labor unions
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 7
;NewspapersThe Fresno Bee

;Executive branch officials
Donald Trump, former president of the United States
;U.S. representatives
Ken Calvert, U.S. representative from
John Duarte, U.S. representative from
Darrell Issa, U.S. representative from
Mike Johnson, U.S. representative from and Speaker of the House
Young Kim, U.S. representative from
Doug LaMalfa, U.S. representative from
Kevin McCarthy, U.S. representative from
Jay Obernolte, U.S. representative from
Michelle Steel, U.S. representative from
;Local officials
Karen Goh, mayor of Bakersfield
;Organizations

;Labor unions

National Border Patrol Council

;Individuals

John Burrows, spokesman for Fresno city councilor Nelson Esparza and former candidate for this seat

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Federal officials

Michael Flynn, former National Security Advisor, former Director of the Defense Intelligence Agency

;Organizations

Republicans for National Renewal

;Individuals

Roger Stone, conservative political consultant and lobbyist

;Political parties

California Republican Party

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Boudreaux	Vince Fong	Kyle Kirkland	Andy Morales	Marisa Wood	Other	Undecided
Emerson College	January 26–29, 2024	565	± 4.1%	11%	27%	4%	8%	11%	5%	35%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 21

The incumbent was Democrat Jim Costa, who had represented the district since 2005 and was re-elected with 54.0% of the vote in 2022. Costa won re-election by 5.2 percentage points, a much narrower margin than what was predicted by pundits and outlets.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Jim Costa, incumbent U.S. representative
Michael Maher, aviation business owner and runner-up for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;NewspapersThe Fresno Bee

;U.S. representatives

Connie Conway, former U.S. representative from
John Duarte, U.S. representative from CA-13
Tom McClintock, U.S. representative from CA-05
George Radanovich, former U.S. representative from

;State legislators

Vince Fong, state assemblymember from the 32nd district and candidate for CA-20
Shannon Grove, state senator from the 12th district
Devon Mathis, state assemblymember from the 33rd district

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball		February 23, 2023
Elections Daily		March 22, 2024
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 22

The incumbent was Republican David Valadao, who was re-elected with 51.6% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Rudy Salas, former state assemblyman from the 32nd district and runner-up for this district in 2022
David Valadao, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Melissa Hurtado, state senator from the 16th district
Chris Mathys, former Fresno city councilor and candidate for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;Statewide officials

Eleni Kounalakis, lieutenant governor of California '

;State legislators
Jasmeet Bains, state assemblymember from the 35th district

;Organizations
California Republican Assembly
;Political parties
American Independent Party
;U.S. senators
Alex Padilla, U.S. senator from California
;U.S. representatives
Pete Aguilar,
Zoe Lofgren,
Nancy Pelosi, former Speaker of the House from
;Statewide officials

Rob Bonta, Attorney General of California
Malia Cohen, California State Controller

Eleni Kounalakis, lieutenant governor of California '
Gavin Newsom, governor of California

;Individuals

Dolores Huerta, labor leader and civil rights activist

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

Blue Dog PAC
California Rifle and Pistol Association '
California Young Democrats
Congressional Hispanic Caucus BOLD PAC
DCCC Red to Blue
Democratic Majority for Israel '
Equality California
Feminist Majority PAC
Jewish Democratic Council of America
Latino Victory Fund
NewDem Action Fund
Planned Parenthood Action Fund '
Reproductive Freedom for All
Vote Common Good

;Labor unions
AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Teachers Association
IBEW Local 1245
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 7
National Education Association
National Union of Healthcare Workers
SEIU California and United Healthcare Workers West
United Farm Workers
;NewspapersThe Fresno Bee

;State officials
Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas
;Local officials
Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor
;Political parties
California Republican Party
;Organizations

AIPAC
BIPAC
California College Republicans
California ProLife Council

California Rifle and Pistol Association '
ClearPath Action Fund
National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
Pro-Israel America
Republican Jewish Coalition

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	November 16, 2023
Inside Elections	October 31, 2024	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	November 4, 2024
Elections Daily	November 4, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 4, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	David Valadao	Rudy Salas	Undecided
Emerson College	October 22–26, 2024	525	± 4.2%	45%	47%	8%
Emerson College	September 23–26, 2024	350	± 5.2%	45%	45%	10%
USC/CSU	September 14–21, 2024	263	± 6.1%	44%	47%	9%
Normington, Petts & Associates	August 25–27, 2024	400	–	44%	46%	10%
Change Research	August 10–17, 2024	479	± 2.2%	44%	38%	18%

District 23

The incumbent was Republican Jay Obernolte, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.0% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Derek Marshall, community activist and runner-up for this district in 2022
Jay Obernolte, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

;Political parties

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Labor unions

California Professional Firefighters
IBEW Local 1245

;NewspapersInland Valley Daily BulletinThe Press-EnterpriseRedlands Daily FactsThe San Bernardino Sun
;Political parties

California Republican Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 24

The incumbent was Democrat Salud Carbajal, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 60.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Salud Carbajal, incumbent U.S. representative
Thomas Cole, campaign data analyst

Eliminated in primary

Helena Pasquarella, teacher

Endorsements

;U.S. representatives

Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;NewspapersSanta Barbara Independent

;Political parties

American Independent Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 25

The incumbent was Democrat Raul Ruiz, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Raul Ruiz, incumbent U.S. representative
Ian Weeks, financial planner

Eliminated in primary

Ryan Dean Burkett, retail worker
Miguel Chapa, mortgage broker
Oscar Ortiz, Indio city councilor
Ceci Truman, businesswoman and candidate for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties
California Democratic Party
;Organizations

AIPAC
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Desert Stonewall Democrats
Equality California
Feminist Majority PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
League of Conservation Voters

Planned Parenthood Action Fund '

;Labor unions

;Organizations

California Rifle and Pistol Association

;Political parties

California Republican Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 26

The incumbent was Democrat Julia Brownley, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Julia Brownley, incumbent U.S. representative
Michael Koslow, healthcare investigator and retired Department of Defense special agent

Eliminated in primary

Chris Anstead, Agoura Hills city councilor
Bruce Boyer, businessman, dancer, and perennial candidate

Endorsements

;Organizations

California Rifle and Pistol Association '

;Political parties
California Democratic Party
Los Angeles Democratic Party
;Organizations
AIPAC
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Feminist Majority PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
League of Conservation Voters
National Women's Political Caucus
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
;Labor unions
AFSCME California
Association of Flight Attendants
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
California Teachers Association
IBEW Locals 11 and 1245
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42
National Education Association
National Union of Healthcare Workers
SEIU United Healthcare Workers West
United Farm Workers

;State officials
Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas
;Local officials
Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor
;Organizations

California College Republicans
California ProLife Council
California Republican Assembly

California Rifle and Pistol Association '
Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC

;Political parties

California Republican Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 27

The incumbent was Republican Mike Garcia, who was re-elected with 53.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Mike Garcia, incumbent U.S. representative
George Whitesides, former NASA chief of staff and former CEO of Virgin Galactic

Eliminated in primary

Steve Hill, appraiser and perennial candidate

Withdrawn

Franky Carrillo, member of the Los Angeles County Probation Oversight Commission

Endorsements

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Political parties

;NewspapersLos Angeles Daily NewsSanta Clarita Valley Signal
;Organizations

AIPAC
California College Republicans
California ProLife Council
California Rifle and Pistol Association
Humane Society Legislative Fund
Log Cabin Republicans PAC '
National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
Republican Jewish Coalition
Santa Clarita Valley Chamber of Commerce

;U.S. representatives
Ami Bera,
Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from Arizona's 8th congressional district
Josh Harder,
Hakeem Jeffries, House Minority Leader from
Seth Moulton,
Nancy Pelosi, and former Speaker of the House
Adam Schiff,
;State assemblymembers
Juan Carrillo, 39th district
Pilar Schiavo, 40th district
Christy Smith, 38th district and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
;Local officials
Franky Carrillo, member of the Los Angeles County Probation Oversight Commission
;Political parties
California Democratic Party
Los Angeles County Democratic Party
;Organizations

314 Action
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
DCCC Red to Blue
Equality California
Everytown for Gun Safety
Feminist Majority PAC
Giffords
League of Conservation Voters

Natural Resources Defense Council '
New Dem Action Fund
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Reproductive Freedom for All
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	April 18, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 4, 2024
Elections Daily		November 4, 2024
CNalysis		November 4, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin	Mike Garcia	George Whitesides	Undecided
USC/CSU	September 14–21, 2024	522	± 4.3%	46%	48%	6%
Impact Research	April 12–18, 2024	650	–	44%	47%	9%

District 28

The incumbent was Democrat Judy Chu, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Judy Chu, incumbent U.S. representative
April Verlato, mayor of Arcadia

Eliminated in primary

Jose Castaneda, customer service representative
William Patterson, consultant

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Libertarian Party

;Political parties

;Organizations

Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
Armenian National Committee of America-Western Region
California Environmental Voters
Equality California
Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund
Feminist Majority PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
League of Conservation Voters
National Women's Political Caucus
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Population Connection Action Fund
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

;Political parties

Peace and Freedom Party

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 29

The incumbent was Democrat Tony Cárdenas, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.5% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. On November 20, 2023, he announced that he would not seek re-election in 2024.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Benito Bernal, youth advocate, perennial candidate, and runner-up for this district in 2018
Luz Rivas, state assemblywoman from the 43rd district

Eliminated in primary

Angelica Dueñas, former president of the Sun Valley neighborhood council and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022

Declined

Tony Cárdenas, incumbent U.S. representative ''''

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties
American Independent Party
California Republican Party

;Local officials
Kenneth Mejia, Los Angeles City Controller
;Individuals
Howie Klein, former president of Reprise Records and adjunct professor at McGill University
Heather Digby Parton, political blogger
;Organizations
Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
Vote Common Good

;U.S. senators
Alex Padilla, U.S. senator from California
;U.S. representatives
Tony Cárdenas, incumbent U.S. representative
Lois Frankel, U.S. Representative from Florida
;Organizations

AIPAC
California Environmental Voters
Center for Biological Diversity Action Fund
CHC BOLD PAC
Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC
Democratic Majority for Israel
EMILY's List
Equality California

Everytown for Gun Safety '
Food & Water Action
Friends of the Earth Action
Latino Victory Fund
League of Conservation Voters
National Women's Political Caucus
Planned Parenthood Action Fund '
PODER PAC
Reproductive Freedom for All '
Sierra Club

;Labor unions

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42
National Education Association

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 30

The incumbent was Democrat Adam Schiff, who was re-elected with 71.1% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat. He did not seek re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate.

Candidates

Advanced to general
'''Eliminated in primary'''

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 31

The incumbent was Democrat Grace Napolitano, who was re-elected with 59.5% of the vote in 2022. Napolitano decided to retire rather than seek re-election.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Gil Cisneros, former U.S. Under Secretary of Defense for Personnel and Readiness and former U.S. Representative from the
Daniel Martinez, attorney and runner-up for this district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

Bob Archuleta, state senator from the 30th district
Pedro Casas, clinical psychologist
Greg Hafif, attorney
Kurt Jose, businessman
Erskine Levi, teacher
Mary Ann Lutz, president of the Citrus College Board of Trustees, former mayor of Monrovia, and former policy advisor to incumbent Grace Napolitano
Marie Manvel, former member of the Santa Monica Social Services Commission and runner-up for State Board of Equalization District 3 in 2022
Susan Rubio, state senator from the 22nd district

Declined

Grace Napolitano, incumbent U.S. representative ''''

Endorsements

;U.S. representatives

Grace Napolitano, U.S. representative from

;Statewide officials

Fiona Ma, California State Treasurer

;Labor unions

IBEW Local 11
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42
Service Employees International Union California '

;Local officials
Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor
;Organizations
California College Republicans
California ProLife Council
California Rifle and Pistol Association
;Political parties
California Republican Party

;U.S. representatives
Pete Aguilar,
Nanette Barragán,
Salud Carbajal,
Tony Cárdenas,
Judy Chu,
Jim Costa,
John Garamendi,
Robert Garcia,
Gabby Giffords, Arizona's 8th congressional district
Josh Harder,
Mike Levin,
Grace Meng,
Nancy Pelosi, Speaker Emerita from
Katie Porter,
Raul Ruiz,
Linda Sánchez,
Mark Takano,
Mike Thompson,
;Municipal officials
Hilda Solis, Los Angeles County supervisor from the 1st district, former U.S. Secretary of Labor, and former U.S. representative from
;Local officials
Fidel Vargas, former mayor of Baldwin Park
;Labor unions

International Association of Sheet Metal, Air, Rail and Transportation Workers
International Union of Operating Engineers Local 12
International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 36

Service Employees International Union California '

;Organizations

;Labor unions
United Association Local 398
;Organizations

;Labor unions

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Labor unions

California Federation of Labor

Polling

Poll source

Date
administered

Sample
size

Margin
of error

Bob
Archuleta

Pedro
Casas

Gil
Cisneros

Greg
Hafif

Mary Ann
Lutz

Daniel
Martinez

Susan
Rubio

Other

Undecided

Tulchin Research

December 14–19, 2023

600

± 4.0%

27%

10%

12%

28%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 32

The incumbent was Democrat Brad Sherman, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 69.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Brad Sherman, incumbent U.S. representative
Larry Thompson, attorney and candidate for the in 2020

Eliminated in primary

Dave Abbitt, digital media producer
Christopher Ahuja, talent agent
James Shuster, retired businessman
Douglas Smith, stage manager

Withdrawn

Trevor Witt, driver

Endorsements

;Organizations

Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
Ventura County Young Democrats

;Local officials

Dennis Zine, former Los Angeles city councilor from the 3rd district '

;Political parties
California Democratic Party
Los Angeles Democratic Party
;Organizations

AIPAC
Armenian National Committee of America-Western Region
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Democratic Majority for Israel
Equality California
Humane Society Legislative Fund

Planned Parenthood Action Fund '
Population Connection Action Fund
Pro-Israel America
Sierra Club

;Labor unions

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

;Individuals

Perianne Boring, entrepreneur
Brock Pierce, cryptocurrency investor, former actor

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 33

The incumbent was Democrat Pete Aguilar, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 61.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Pete Aguilar, incumbent U.S. representative
Tom Herman, property manager

Write-in candidates

John Mark Porter, disaster response coordinator and runner-up for this district in 2022
Ernest Richter, retired businessman and candidate for this district in 2022

Withdrawn

Sarah Sun Liew, businesswoman, candidate for this district in 2020, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2022 ''''

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 34

The incumbent was Democrat Jimmy Gomez, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 51.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Jimmy Gomez, incumbent U.S. representative
David Kim, former MacArthur Park neighborhood council board member and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022

Eliminated in primary

David Ferrell, attorney
Calvin Lee, businessman
Aaron Reveles, teacher

Endorsements

;Political parties

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;Local officials

Kenneth Mejia, Los Angeles City Controller

;Organizations

Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
Vote Common Good

;Political parties

Peace and Freedom Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 35

The incumbent was Democrat Norma Torres, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 57.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Mike Cargile, independent filmmaker and runner-up for this district in 2020 and 2022
Norma Torres, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Melissa May, former Mountain View School District trustee
Vijal Suthar, hotel manager

Endorsements

;Organizations

;Political parties

American Independent Party

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

California College Republicans

;U.S. representatives

Gabby Giffords, U.S. representative from

;Political parties

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;NewspapersInland Valley Daily Bulletin

;Organizations

California Young Democrats

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 36

The incumbent was Democrat Ted Lieu, who had represented the district since 2015 and was re-elected with 69.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Ted Lieu, incumbent U.S. representative
Melissa Toomim, journalist and candidate for the 32nd district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

Claire Anderson, businesswoman
Ariana Hakami, financial advisor and candidate for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;Organizations

California ProLife Council

;Political parties

;Organizations

AIPAC
Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Democratic Majority for Israel
Equality California
Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund
Feminist Majority PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
Natural Resources Defense Council
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Population Connection Action Fund
Pro-Israel America
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
IBEW Local 11
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42
National Union of Healthcare Workers
United Association Local 398
United Auto Workers

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

California College Republicans

;Political parties

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 37

The incumbent was Democrat Sydney Kamlager-Dove, who had represented the district since 2023. She was elected with 64.0% of the vote in 2022, running against another Democrat.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Sydney Kamlager-Dove, incumbent U.S. representative
Juan Rey, train mechanic

Eliminated in primary

Adam Carmichael, software engineer
Baltazar Fedalizo, businessman and candidate for this district in 2022
John Parker, political organizer and activist

Endorsements

;Political parties

;Organizations

Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Jewish Democratic Council of America
League of Conservation Voters
National Women's Political Caucus
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Population Connection Action Fund
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club
Vote Mama

;Labor unions

;NewspapersLos Angeles Sentinel

;Organizations

California ProLife Council

;Political parties

Peace and Freedom Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 38

The incumbent was Democrat Linda Sánchez, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 58.1% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Eric Ching, Walnut city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2022
Linda Sánchez, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Robert Ochoa, entrepreneur
John Sarega, businessman and candidate for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

California College Republicans

;Political parties

;Organizations

California Rifle and Pistol Association

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

AIPAC
Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
National Women's Political Caucus
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
California Teachers Association
IBEW Local 11
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42
National Education Association
National Union of Healthcare Workers
UFCW Local 324
United Association Local 398
United Auto Workers
United Farm Workers

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 39

The incumbent was Democrat Mark Takano, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 57.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

David Serpa, businessman
Mark Takano, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

;Organizations

California Rifle and Pistol Association

;Political parties

California Republican Party

;Individuals

Kelley Robinson, president of Human Rights Campaign

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
Asian American Action Fund
Bend the Arc
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Everytown for Gun Safety Action Fund
Human Rights Campaign
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 40

The incumbent was Republican Young Kim, who was re-elected with 56.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Joe Kerr, retired Orange County fire captain, candidate for Orange County Board of Supervisors District 4 in 2018, and candidate for SD-38 in 2022
Young Kim, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Allyson Muñiz Damikolas, Tustin Unified School District trustee

Endorsements

;U.S. representatives

;Statewide officials

;State senators

;State assemblymembers

;Local officials

Ashleigh Aitken, mayor of Anaheim
Farrah Khan, mayor of Irvine

;Organizations

;Labor unions
AFSCME California
American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees
Association of Flight Attendants
California AFL-CIO
California School Employees Association
Communications Workers of America Local 9510
International Association of Fire Fighters Local 3522 and 3631
International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Local 47 and 441
International Brotherhood of Teamsters District Joint Council 42
International Union of Painters and Allied Trades District Council 36
Laborers' Union Local 652
Office and Professional Employees International Union
Orange County Employees Association
Orange County Labor Federation
United Association Local 250
United Association Local 398
United Auto Workers

;State officials
Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas
;Local officials
Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor
;NewspapersOrange County Register
;Political parties
California Republican Party
;Organizations

AIPAC
Americans for Prosperity
California College Republicans
California ProLife Council
California Rifle and Pistol Association
Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
The LIBRE Initiative

Log Cabin Republicans PAC '
Maggie's List
National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
Pro-Israel America
United States Chamber of Commerce

;U.S. representatives

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="4"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	November 4, 2024	-
Elections Daily	November 4, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 4, 2024

District 41

The incumbent was Republican Ken Calvert, who was re-elected with 52.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Ken Calvert, incumbent U.S. representative
Will Rollins, counterterrorism attorney and runner-up for this district in 2022

Eliminated in primary

Anna Nevenic, nurse and perennial candidate

Endorsements

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Political parties

;Organizations

AIPAC
California College Republicans
California ProLife Council
California Republican Assembly
California Rifle and Pistol Association
Humane Society Legislative Fund
Log Cabin Republicans PAC '
National Rifle Association Political Victory Fund
Pro-Israel America
Republican Jewish Coalition
U.S. Chamber of Commerce

;U.S. senators
Barbara Boxer, former U.S. senator from California
;U.S. representatives
Pete Aguilar,
Nanette Barragán,
Ami Bera,
Salud Carbajal,
Tony Cárdenas,
Judy Chu,
Jim Costa,
Mark DeSaulnier,
Anna Eshoo,
John Garamendi,
Robert Garcia,
Gabby Giffords,
Jared Huffman,
Sara Jacobs,
Sydney Kamlager-Dove,
Ro Khanna,
Barbara Lee,
Mike Levin,
Ted Lieu,
Zoe Lofgren,
Doris Matsui,
Seth Moulton,
Kevin Mullin,
Grace Napolitano,
Nancy Pelosi, and former Speaker of the House
Scott Peters,
Katie Porter,
Raul Ruiz,
Adam Schiff,
Brad Sherman,
Eric Swalwell,
Mark Takano,
Ritchie Torres,
;State legislators
Adrian Boafo, Maryland state delegate from the 23rd district
;Political parties
California Democratic Party
;Organizations

Blue Dog PAC
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Congressional Equality Caucus PAC
DCCC Red to Blue
Democratic Majority for Israel
Desert Stonewall Democrats
End Citizens United
Equality California

Everytown for Gun Safety '
Giffords
Human Rights Campaign
Jewish Democratic Council of America
League of Conservation Voters
LGBTQ Victory Fund
Natural Resources Defense Council
NewDem Action Fund
Patriotic Millionaires
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Reproductive Freedom for All
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Ken Calvert	Will Rollins	Other/Undecided
Global Strategy Group	October 3–6, 2024	500	± 4.4%	45%	45%	10%
USC/CSU	September 14–21, 2024	539	± 4.2%	48%	47%	5%
RMG Research	September 5–12, 2024	461	± 4.6%	35%	41%	24%
David Binder Research	May 1–6, 2024	600	± 4.0%	44%	45%	11%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		February 2, 2023
Inside Elections		May 9, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	November 4, 2024
Elections Daily	November 4, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 4, 2024

District 42

The incumbent was Democrat Robert Garcia, who had represented the district since 2023, and was elected with 68.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

John Briscoe, Ocean View School District trustee, perennial candidate, and runner-up for this district in 2022
Robert Garcia, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Joaquin Beltran, engineer and candidate for this district in 2022
Nicole López, communications consultant and candidate for this district in 2022

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

California Republican Party

;Individuals

Kelley Robinson, president of Human Rights Campaign

;Political parties

;Organizations

California Young Democrats
Equality California
Human Rights Campaign
Humane Society Legislative Fund
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
IBEW Local 11
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42
National Union of Healthcare Workers
SEIU United Healthcare Workers West
UFCW Local 324
United Association Local 398
United Auto Workers

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 43

The incumbent was Democrat Maxine Waters, who had represented the district since 1991 and was re-elected with 77.3% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Maxine Waters, incumbent U.S. representative
Steve Williams, real estate broker

Eliminated in primary

Gregory Cheadle, attorney and perennial candidate
David Knight, education business owner
Chris Wiggins, human resources recruiter and runner-up for the 37th district in 2016

Endorsements

;Political parties

;Organizations

Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Feminist Majority PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
League of Conservation Voters
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Sierra Club
Stonewall Democratic Club

;Labor unions

AFSCME California
California Federation of Labor
California Federation of Teachers
California Professional Firefighters
IBEW Local 11
International Brotherhood of Teamsters Joint Council 42
National Union of Healthcare Workers
United Association Local 398

;NewspapersLos Angeles Sentinel

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 44

The incumbent was Democrat Nanette Barragán, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 72.2% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Nanette Barragán, incumbent U.S. representative
Roger Groh, investment manager

Endorsements

;Political parties

;Organizations

AIPAC
Americans for Democratic Action Southern California
California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Democratic Majority for Israel
Equality California
Everytown for Gun Safety '
Feminist Majority PAC
Friends of the Earth Action
Humane Society Legislative Fund
League of Conservation Voters
National Women's Political Caucus
Planned Parenthood Action Fund '
Sierra Club

;Labor unions

;NewspapersLos Angeles Sentinel

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

California College Republicans

;Political parties

California Republican Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 45

The incumbent was Republican Michelle Steel, who was re-elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general
'''Eliminated in primary'''

Endorsements

;Organizations

U.S. Chamber of Commerce

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	September 6, 2024
Inside Elections	October 18, 2024	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	November 4, 2024
Elections Daily	November 4, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 4, 2024

District 46

The incumbent was Democrat Lou Correa, who had represented the district since 2017 and was re-elected with 61.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Lou Correa, incumbent U.S. representative
David Pan, University of California, Irvine professor

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;Organizations

California College Republicans

;Political parties

American Independent Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

District 47

The incumbent was Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She opted against seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate, ultimately losing her bid.

Candidates

Advanced to general
'''Eliminated in primary'''

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report		February 2, 2023
Inside Elections		October 18, 2024
Sabato's Crystal Ball		November 4, 2024
Elections Daily		November 4, 2024
CNalysis		November 4, 2024

District 48

The incumbent was Republican Darrell Issa, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 60.4% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Stephen Houlahan, former Santee city councilor and runner-up for this district in 2022
Darrell Issa, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Lucinda Jahn, technician and candidate for this district in 2022
Mathew Rascon, security guard and candidate for this district in 2022
Whitney Shanahan, activist
Mike Simon, engineer

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party
San Diego County Democratic Party

;Organizations

Executive branch officials

Donald Trump, former president of the United States

;State officials

Mike Huckabee, governor of Arkansas

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor
Kevin Faulconer, former mayor of San Diego

;Political parties

California Republican Party

;Organizations

National Women's Political Caucus

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Darrell Issa	Stephen Houlahan	Undecided
SurveyUSA	June 14–20, 2024	625	± 4.8%	56%	34%	10%

District 49

The incumbent was Democrat Mike Levin, who was re-elected with 52.6% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Matt Gunderson, auto dealer and runner-up for SD-38 in 2022
Mike Levin, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Sheryl Adams, automotive marketer
Kate Monroe, veteran aid nonprofit CEO
Margarita Wilkinson, Entravision senior vice president

Endorsements

;U.S. representatives

Darrell Issa, U.S. representative for

;U.S. representatives

Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the U.S. House from

;State senators

Brian Jones, state senator for the 40th district
Janet Nguyen, state senator for the 36th district

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

Log Cabin Republicans PAC

;Political parties

California Democratic Party
San Diego County Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

;Organizations

;Local officials

Chris Cate, former San Diego city councilor from the 6th district
Kevin Faulconer, former mayor of San Diego and candidate for governor of California in 2021
Kristin Gaspar, former San Diego County supervisor from the 3rd district
Rebecca Jones, mayor of San Marcos
Scott Sherman, former San Diego city councilor from the 7th district

;Organizations

California College Republicans

;Political parties

American Independent Party

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	October 15, 2024
Inside Elections	October 31, 2024	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball		September 30, 2024
Elections Daily		October 10, 2024
CNalysis	Solid D	October 16, 2024

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Levin	Matt Gunderson	Other	Undecided
SurveyUSA	October 25–31, 2024	574	± 5.0%	51%	38%	3%	8%
1892 Polling	October 5–8, 2024	400	± 4.9%	46%	45%	–	9%
SurveyUSA	October 2–6, 2024	617	± 4.8%	53%	41%	1%	5%
SurveyUSA	June 5–10, 2024	559	± 4.8%	50%	40%	–	10%
1892 Polling	April 9–11, 2024	400	± 4.9%	44%	42%	–	14%
SurveyUSA	January 9–15, 2024	650	± 4.4%	47%	34%	–	20%
SurveyUSA	January 9–15, 2024	650	± 4.4%	43%	12%	17%	28%

Matt Levin vs. Margarita Wilkinson

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Matt Levin	Margarita Wilkinson	Undecided
SurveyUSA	January 9–15, 2024	650	± 4.4%	48%	29%	23%

District 50

The incumbent was Democrat Scott Peters, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 62.8% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Peter Bono, retired U.S. Navy technician
Scott Peters, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary

Timothy Bilash, obstetrician-gynecologist
Solomon Moss, home tiling contractor

Endorsements

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor

;Organizations

;Political parties
California Democratic Party
San Diego County Democratic Party
;Organizations

California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Equality California
Humane Society Legislative Fund
International Franchise Association
J Street PAC
League of Conservation Voters
National Organization for Women PAC

Planned Parenthood Action Fund '
Population Connection Action Fund
San Diego Democrats for Equality

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Scott Peters	Peter Bono	Undecided
SurveyUSA	June 24–30, 2024	601	± 5.0%	51%	33%	17%

District 51

The incumbent was Democrat Sara Jacobs, who had represented the district since 2021 and was re-elected with 61.9% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Sara Jacobs, incumbent U.S. representative
Bill Wells, mayor of El Cajon

Eliminated in primary

Stan Caplan, businessman and Republican runner-up for this district in 2022
Hilaire Fuji Shioura, former Placentia library trustee and perennial candidate

Endorsements

;Political parties

American Independent Party

;Political parties

California Democratic Party
San Diego County Democratic Party

;Organizations

California Environmental Voters
California Young Democrats
Council for a Livable World '
Equality California
Feminist Majority PAC
Humane Society Legislative Fund
J Street PAC
Jewish Democratic Council of America '
Joint Action Committee for Political Affairs
National Women's Political Caucus
Natural Resources Defense Council
Planned Parenthood Action Fund
Population Connection Action Fund
San Diego Democrats for Equality
Sierra Club

;Labor unions

;U.S. representatives

Michele Bachmann, former U.S. representative from
Brian Bilbray, former U.S. representative from
Darrell Issa, U.S. representative from

;Local officials

Carl DeMaio, former San Diego city councilor
Steve Vaus, mayor of Poway

;Organizations

California College Republicans
San Diego County Republican Party
San Diego East County Chamber of Commerce

;Political parties

California Republican Party

Primary election

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Stan Caplan	Sara Jacobs	Hilaire Shioura	Bill Wells	Undecided
SurveyUSA	January 26–31, 2024	562	± 4.9%	4%	48%	3%	29%	16%

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sara Jacobs	Bill Wells	Undecided
SurveyUSA	October 23–27, 2024	521	± 5.2%	61%	25%	13%
SurveyUSA	June 10–14, 2024	537	± 4.8%	54%	32%	14%
SurveyUSA	January 26–31, 2024	562	± 4.9%	55%	34%	11%

Sara Jacobs vs. Stan Caplan

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Sara Jacobs	Stan Caplan	Undecided
SurveyUSA	January 26–31, 2024	562	± 4.9%	56%	24%	20%

District 52

The incumbent was Democrat Juan Vargas, who had represented the district since 2013 and was re-elected with 66.7% of the vote in 2022.

Candidates

Advanced to general

Justin Lee, realtor
Juan Vargas, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

;Political parties

California Democratic Party
San Diego County Democratic Party

;Organizations

;Labor unions

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	rowspan="2"	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	March 10, 2023	-
Sabato's Crystal Ball	rowspan="2"	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	February 5, 2024	-
CNalysis		November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source	Date administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Juan Vargas	Justin Lee	Undecided
SurveyUSA	June 20–25, 2024	507	± 5.5%	57%	25%	19%