Jiang Xueqin
Jiang Xueqin is a Chinese-Canadian educator, writer, historian, and geopolitical theorist based in Beijing, China. He is known for his contributions to education reform in China—particularly promoting creativity, critical thinking, and global citizenship—as well as for his YouTube channel Predictive History, where he applies structural historical analysis, game theory, and concepts inspired by Isaac Asimov's fictional psychohistory to interpret and forecast major geopolitical developments.
Early life and education
Jiang holds Canadian citizenship; his family emigrated from China when he was young. He graduated with distinction from Yale College in 1999, earning a degree in English literature.Career
Jiang has worked in journalism, documentary filmmaking, international development, and education reform.He has held senior administrative and teaching positions at several prominent Chinese secondary schools, including:
- Deputy Principal, Shenzhen Middle School
- Program Director, Peking University High School International Division
- Tsinghua University High School
He is a researcher with the Global Education Innovation Initiative at the Harvard Graduate School of Education, a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts, and has served on the selection committee for the Global Teacher Prize.
His writing has appeared in The New York Times, China Youth Daily, The Wall Street Journal, and The Chronicle of Higher Education.
Predictive History
Jiang is the creator and principal lecturer of the YouTube channel Predictive History, which he launched prior to 2024.The channel investigates whether a real-world version of psychohistory—the fictional mathematical science of mass human behavior described in Isaac Asimov's Foundation series—is feasible through the study of recurring historical structures, game theory, and long-term pattern recognition.
His two main series are:Civilization — a sequence of more than 60 lectures tracing the narrative and ideological evolution of human societies from prehistory to the contemporary era, with particular emphasis on the unifying and mobilizing power of transcendent religious and civilizational belief systems.Geo-Strategy — lectures applying historical analogies to current great-power politics. Episode 8, The Iran Trap, attracted international attention after several of its major predictions appeared to materialize in 2025, including the re-election of Donald Trump and escalating U.S. involvement toward conflict with Iran.
Jiang frequently draws on classical Western narrative traditions, including the Iliad, the tragedies of Aeschylus and Euripides, the career of Alexander the Great, Virgil's Aeneid, Dante's Divine Comedy, Jewish messianic thought, and Christian eschatology.