2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election


The 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Massachusetts. Republican former state representative Geoff Diehl, Democratic state Attorney General Maura Healey, and Libertarian Kevin Reed sought to succeed incumbent Governor Charlie Baker, who did not seek re-election after two terms. This was one of six Republican-held governorships up for election in 2022 in a state carried by Joe Biden in the 2020 [United States presidential election|2020 presidential election], and the only race in which the incumbent was retiring despite being eligible for re-election.
Primary elections were held on September 6, with Diehl and Healey winning against minimal opposition. Due to Massachusetts's strong liberal lean and Diehl's conservative political views, Healey was widely expected to win the election. The election was called for the Democrat shortly after polls closed, with Healey becoming the first woman ever elected governor of Massachusetts and the first openly lesbian governor to take office in United States history.
In addition, with the election of Kim Driscoll as lieutenant governor, Massachusetts became one of the first two states to simultaneously elect women as governor and lieutenant governor, along with Arkansas gubernatorial election|Arkansas]. Arkansas, however, elects the governor in a separate election from the lieutenant governor. Taking 63.7% of the vote, Healey's performance was the strongest of any Democratic gubernatorial candidate in the state since Michael Dukakis in 1986, the best performance in history for a non-incumbent Democrat, and the best performance for any non-incumbent since Channing Cox in 1920. Healey also made history by receiving over 1.5 million votes, the most ever received by a Democratic gubernatorial candidate in Massachusetts history.
This election constituted the largest shift by partisan margin of any 2022 gubernatorial election, swinging from a 33.5 point margin of victory for the Republican in 2018 to a 29.1 point margin for the Democrat in 2022. Additionally, every county in the state flipped from Republican to Democratic; this was the first gubernatorial election in which every county flipped since the 2010 Wyoming election.

Republican primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Geoff
Diehl
Karyn
Polito
Undecided
Public Policy Polling October 12–13, 2021556 ± 4.2%29%50%21%
Advantage, Inc. February 22–26, 2021221 ± 6.6%20%22%58%

Results

Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee

Debate

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee

Polling

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Sonia
Maura
Healey
OtherUndecided
UMass AmherstAugust 26–29, 2022500 ± 5.1%14%73%1%12%
UMass AmherstJune 15–21, 2022557 ± 4.7%20%53%1%26%
Emerson CollegeMay 2–4, 2022488 ± 4.6%8%34%15%43%
UMass LowellApril 2–11, 2022800 ± 3.9%17%62%2%18%
MassINC Polling Group January 18–20, 2022310 ± 5.6%12%48%7%30%

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Danielle
Allen
Charlie
Baker
Sonia
Chang-Díaz
Ben
Downing
Deb
Goldberg
Maura
Healey
Joe
Ayanna
Pressley
Marty
Walsh
OtherUndecided
MassINC Polling Group January 18–20, 2022310 ± 5.6%2%8%31%32%2%22%
Advantage, Inc. February 22–26, 2021406 ± 4.9%2%2%35%22%39%
SurveyUSA August 12–16, 2020558 ± 4.1%3%25%13%25%34%
SurveyUSA August 12–16, 2020558 ± 4.1%62%1%13%7%4%13%
Suffolk UniversityJune 5–9, 2019600 ± 4.0%34%36%30%

Results

Convention
Primary

Lieutenant governor

Nominee

Debate

Polling

Results

Convention
Primary

Libertarian primary

Governor

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kevin Reed

    Withdrew

  • Carlos Perez

    Lieutenant governor

Candidates

Nominee
  • Peter Everett

    Independents

Candidates

Failed to qualify for ballot

  • Dianna Ploss, former radio host

    General election

Post-primary endorsements

Predictions

Polling

Aggregate polls

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Geoff
Diehl
Maura
Healey
OtherUndecided
UMass Amherst/YouGovOctober 20–26, 2022700 ± 4.3%33%61%2%3%
UMass Lowell/YouGovOctober 18–25, 20221,000 ± 4.1%32%59%3%6%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 13–16, 2022500 ± 4.4%33%56%4%6%
MassINC Polling GroupOctober 5–14, 2022987 23%53%6%18%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 10–13, 2022500 ± 4.4%26%52%6%17%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 7–8, 2022708 ± 3.6%34%52%3%12%
Suffolk UniversityJuly 20–23, 2022493 ± 4.4%23%54%23%
UMass LowellJune 7–15, 20221,000 ± 4.0%30%61%1%8%
Emerson CollegeMay 2–4, 2022848 ± 3.3%31%59%10%
Suffolk UniversityApril 24–28, 2022651 ± 3.8%27%54%19%

Charlie Baker vs. Danielle Allen

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Danielle
Allen
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%33%12%6%48%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%34%12%5%48%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021800 ± 4.6%30%14%8%48%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021756 ± 4.7%31%14%6%49%

Charlie Baker vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Sonia
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%35%16%9%41%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%36%16%7%41%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021800 ± 4.6%30%16%10%45%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021756 ± 4.7%31%17%7%45%

Charlie Baker vs. Benjamin Downing

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Benjamin
Downing
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%35%11%8%46%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%36%11%6%47%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021800 ± 4.6%30%11%8%51%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021756 ± 4.7%31%12%6%51%

Charlie Baker vs. Maura Healey

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Maura
Healey
OtherUndecided
Change Research/Northwind Strategies November 15–19, 2021789 ± 4.1%33%29%38%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%33%27%11%30%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%34%28%9%29%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021800 ± 4.6%30%27%10%34%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021756 ± 4.7%31%28%7%34%

Charlie Baker vs. Joe Kennedy III

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Joe
OtherUndecided
Change Research/Northwind Strategies November 15–19, 2021789 ± 4.1%36%30%34%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021800 ± 4.6%35%25%10%30%
YouGov/UMass AmherstMarch 5–9, 2021756 ± 4.7%37%27%8%28%

Charlie Baker vs. Orlando Silva

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Charlie
Baker
Orlando
Silva
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%36%9%8%47%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%37%9%7%47%

Karyn Polito vs. Danielle Allen

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Karyn
Polito
Danielle
Allen
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%21%17%8%54%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%22%17%7%54%

Karyn Polito vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Karyn
Polito
Sonia
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%21%19%8%51%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%23%19%7%52%

Karyn Polito vs. Benjamin Downing

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Karyn
Polito
Benjamin
Downing
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%21%15%8%56%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%22%16%7%55%

Karyn Polito vs. Maura Healey

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Karyn
Polito
Maura
Healey
OtherUndecided
Change Research/Northwind Strategies November 15–19, 2021789 ± 4.1%21%42%37%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%18%32%10%40%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%19%35%8%38%

Karyn Polito vs. Orlando Silva

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Karyn
Polito
Orlando
Silva
OtherUndecided
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021750 ± 4.1%21%14%9%57%
YouGov/UMass AmherstNovember 9–16, 2021687 ± 4.3%22%14%7%56%

Geoff Diehl vs. Maura Healey with Charlie Baker as an independent

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Geoff
Diehl
Maura
Healey
Charlie
Baker
Undecided
Suffolk UniversityApril 24–28, 2022651 ± 3.8%17%28%37%18%
Change Research/Northwind Strategies November 15–19, 2021789 ± 4.1%21%26%32%21%

Geoff Diehl vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Geoff
Diehl
Sonia
Chang-Díaz
Other
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsApril 24 – June 15, 2022June 22, 202230.0%48.7%21.3%Chang-Díaz +15.5

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Geoff
Diehl
Sonia
OtherUndecided
UMass LowellJune 7–15, 20221,000 ± 4.0%29%54%3%15%
Emerson CollegeMay 2–4, 2022848 ± 3.3%32%47%21%
Suffolk UniversityApril 24–28, 2022651 ± 3.8%29%45%25%

Chris Doughty vs. Sonia Chang-Díaz

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Chris
Doughty
Sonia
Chang-Díaz
Other
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsApril 24 – June 15, 2022June 22, 202230.0%44.7%25.3%Chang-Díaz +14.7

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Doughty
Sonia
OtherUndecided
UMass LowellJune 7–15, 20221,000 ± 4.0%30%50%4%16%
Emerson CollegeMay 2–4, 2022848 ± 3.3%33%41%26%
Suffolk UniversityApril 24–28, 2022651 ± 3.8%27%43%30%

Chris Doughty vs. Maura Healey

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Chris
Doughty
Maura
Healey
Other
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsApril 24 – June 15, 2022June 22, 202228.7%55.7%15.6%Healey +27.0

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Chris
Doughty
Maura
Healey
OtherUndecided
Suffolk UniversityJuly 20–23, 2022493 ± 4.4%22%54%24%
UMass LowellJune 7–15, 20221,000 ± 4.0%30%58%2%10%
Emerson CollegeMay 2–4, 2022848 ± 3.3%31%54%15%
Suffolk UniversityApril 24–28, 2022651 ± 3.8%25%55%21%

Debates

Results

By county

! colspan="8" | 2022 Massachusetts gubernatorial election results by county
! rowspan="2" |County
! colspan="2" |Healey
! colspan="2" |Diehl
! colspan="2" |Other
! rowspan="2" |Total
! Votes
! %
! Votes
! %
! Votes
! %

By congressional district

Healey won all nine congressional districts.
DistrictDiehlHealeyRepresentative
41%58%Richard Neal
35%63%Jim McGovern
37%61%Lori Trahan
37%62%Jake Auchincloss
25%73%Katherine Clark
37%61%Seth Moulton
14%84%Ayanna Pressley
35%64%Stephen Lynch
42%56%Bill Keating