2026 Arizona gubernatorial election


The 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the governor of Arizona. The primary elections will take place on August 4, 2026. Incumbent Democratic governor Katie Hobbs is running for a second term.
Following the passage of Proposition 131 in the 2022 elections, this will be the first gubernatorial election in Arizona in which candidates will be required to nominate a running mate for the newly established position of lieutenant governor.
This will be one of five Democratic-held governorships up for election in 2026 in a state that Donald Trump won in the 2024 presidential election.

Background

Arizona is considered to be a purple state at both the federal and statewide level. After Joe Biden carried the state narrowly in the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried the state of Arizona by 5.5 points in the 2024 presidential election. Democrats control both U.S. Senate seats in Arizona and hold the governorship and secretary of state office. Meanwhile, Republicans maintain a majority in the Arizona Senate and Arizona House of Representatives, and control 6 of the 9 House of Representatives seats in the state.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Saint Omer "Captain" Ettré Divine Kakou

Declined

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Andy
Biggs		Karrin
Taylor Robson		David
Schweikert		UndecidedMargin
270toWinOctober 26-November 10, 2025January 1, 202646.5%18.0%5.0%30.5%Biggs +28.5%

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Andy
Biggs		Karrin
David
Schweikert		OtherUndecided
Emerson CollegeNovember 8–10, 2025381 ± 5.0%50%17%8%1%24%
GrayHouse October 26–28, 2025397 ± 3.6%43%19%2%–36%
Pulse Decision Science September 8–10, 2025502 ± 4.4%48%26%11%–15%
Pulse Decision Science September 8–10, 2025502 ± 4.4%55%31%––14%
Pulse Decision Science September 8–10, 2025502 ± 4.4%61%–23%–16%
Kreate Strategies August 19–21, 2025679 –65%14%––21%
Noble Predictive InsightsAugust 11–18, 2025385 ± 5.0%27%37%––36%
NextGen P June 17–18, 20251,380 ± 2.6%49%26%–8%17%
Kreate Strategies May 23–25, 20251,147 ± 2.9%57%25%––18%
Pulse Decision Science April 6–9, 2025511 ± 4.4%45%16%––39%
NicoPAC April 2–6, 2025477 ± 4.5%66%15%–4%15%
NicoPAC January 24–26, 2025512 ± 4.3%71%14%––15%

;Andy Biggs vs. Charlie Kirk vs. Jack McCain vs. Jake Hoffman vs. Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Andy
Biggs		Jake
Hoffman		Charlie
Kirk		Jack
McCain		Karrin
Kimberly
Yee		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 12–16, 2025426 ± 4.8%17%–17%–24%6%–37%
Noble Predictive InsightsFebruary 11–13, 2025374 ± 5.1%14%1%14%8%11%5%–47%
NicoPAC January 24–26, 2025512 ± 4.3%59%–––9%11%3%19%
Data OrbitalJanuary 18–20, 2025500 ± 4.5%32%–––12%7%4%45%

;Andy Biggs vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Andy
Biggs		Kimberly
Yee		OtherUndecided
NicoPAC January 24–26, 2025512 ± 4.3%67%19%–14%

;Karrin Taylor Robson vs. Kimberly Yee
Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Karrin
Kimberly
Yee		OtherUndecided
NicoPAC January 24–26, 2025512 ± 4.3%15%41%–43%

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Teri Hourihan, therapist

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

Green primary

Candidates

Filed paperwork

  • Lisa Castillo
  • Risa Lombardo
  • William Pounds, streamer/recording artist and candidate for governor in 2022

General election

Polling

Katie Hobbs vs. Andy Biggs

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Katie
Hobbs 		Andy
Biggs 		Other/UndecidedMargin
RealClearPoliticsAugust 11 – November 10, 2025November 14, 202541.5%40.0%18.5%Hobbs +1.5%


Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Andy
Biggs 		OtherUndecided
NXTGenP December 15–17, 20252,725 ± 1.9%51%32%7%9%
Emerson CollegeNovember 8–10, 2025850 ± 3.3%44%43%–13%
Noble Predictive InsightsAugust 11–18, 2025948 ± 3.2%39%37%4%20%
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 12–16, 20251,026 ± 3.1%40%38%5%17%
Pulse Decision Science April 6–9, 2025501 ± 4.4%46%42%–12%
Noble Predictive InsightsFebruary 11–13, 20251,006 ± 3.1%40%38%5%17%
Kreate Strategies February 5–7, 2025924 ± 3.0%43%44%–13%

Katie Hobbs vs. Karrin Taylor Robson

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Katie
Hobbs 		Karrin Taylor
Robson 		Other/UndecidedMargin
RealClearPoliticsAugust 11 – November 10, 2025November 14, 202541.5%40.0%18.5%Hobbs +1.5%


Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Karrin Taylor
OtherUndecided
NXTGenP December 15–17, 20252,725 ± 1.9%51%30%9%10%
Emerson CollegeNovember 8–10, 2025850 ± 3.3%43%42%–15%
Noble Predictive InsightsAugust 11–18, 2025948 ± 3.2%40%38%4%18%
Noble Predictive InsightsMay 12–16, 20251,026 ± 3.1%41%39%3%17%
Pulse Decision Science April 6–9, 2025501 ± 4.4%47%38%–15%
Noble Predictive InsightsFebruary 11–13, 20251,006 ± 3.1%43%35%4%18%
Kreate Strategies February 5–7, 2025924 ± 3.0%40%38%–22%

Katie Hobbs vs. David Schweikert

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		David
Schweikert 		Undecided
Emerson CollegeNovember 8–10, 2025850 ± 3.3%44%39%17%

Katie Hobbs vs. Charlie Kirk

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Charlie
Kirk 		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive InsightsFebruary 11–13, 20251,006 ± 3.1%39%36%7%18%

Katie Hobbs vs. Jake Hoffman

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Jake
Hoffman 		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive InsightsFebruary 11–13, 20251,006 ± 3.1%40%35%5%20%

Katie Hobbs vs. Jack McCain

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Jack
McCain 		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive InsightsFebruary 11–13, 20251,006 ± 3.1%37%36%6%21%

Katie Hobbs vs. Kimberly Yee

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Kimberly
Yee 		OtherUndecided
Noble Predictive InsightsFebruary 11–13, 20251,006 ± 3.1%40%34%6%20%

Katie Hobbs vs. generic Republican

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Generic
Republican		Undecided
GrayHouse October 26–28, 2025744 ± 3.6%40%44%16%

Katie Hobbs vs. someone else

Poll sourceDate
administered		Sample
size		Margin
of error		Katie
Hobbs 		Someone
else		Undecided
GrayHouse October 26–28, 2025744 ± 3.6%43%48%9%