2022 Nevada gubernatorial election


The 2022 Nevada gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Nevada. Incumbent [Nevada Nevada Democratic Party|Democratic Party|Democratic] governor Steve Sisolak ran for re-election to a second term, but lost in the general election to [Nevada Nevada Republican Party|Republican Party|Republican] Joe Lombardo, the [Sheriff of Clark County, Nevada|Clark County|Clark County Sheriff]. This was the first time since 1966 that an incumbent Democratic governor lost reelection in Nevada.
Sisolak was the first Democrat to seek re-election to Nevada's governorship since Bob Miller in 1994, and was subsequently the only incumbent governor in the United States to lose re-election in 2022. Decision Desk HQ called the race for Lombardo on November 11.
Significantly, Lombardo's win marked the first time in the state's history that anyone had won the governorship without winning either Clark or Washoe counties, home to a combined 89% of the state's population. This was largely due to Lombardo's stronger performance in Clark, his home county; Sisolak's previous opponent, Adam Laxalt, lost the county by 13.3% there, while Lombardo only lost by 5.7%, a significant gain.
Political analysts have attributed Sisolak's defeat to his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic; lockdowns during the pandemic proved unpopular in Nevada, which has a tourism-driven economy and a reputation for libertarian political leanings.
Amid a slate of failed gubernatorial pickup attempts, this was the only governorship Republicans flipped in the 2022 elections, as well as the only state governorship to flip to the party that did not carry that state in the 2020 presidential election. This was also the first time since Pat Quinn's defeat in the 2014 Illinois gubernatorial election that an incumbent Democratic governor lost re-election in any state.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Graphical summary

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Joey
Gilbert
Dean
Heller
John
Lee
Joe
Lombardo
Guy
Nohra
Fred
Simon
Other
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsApril 25 – June 7, 2022June 10, 202218.3%14.7%11.5%33.0%7.5%3.5%11.5%Lombardo +14.7

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

Independent American primary

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Bradley Beck, geologist
  • Austin Billings, logistics professional
  • Monique Richardson, pastor

General election

Polling

Aggregate polls

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak
Joe
Lombardo
None of These
Candidates
OtherUndecided
The Trafalgar Group November 5–7, 20221,089 ± 2.9%46%49%3%2%
Research Co.November 4–6, 2022450 ± 4.6%45%47%3%5%
Data for Progress November 2–6, 20221,100 ± 3.0%46%48%2%5%
InsiderAdvantage November 4, 2022550 ± 4.2%44%49%4%4%
KAConsulting November 2–3, 2022501 ± 4.4%43%45%2%10%
Cygnal November 1–2, 2022600 42%47%5%
Emerson CollegeOctober 26–29, 20222,000 ± 2.1%45%49%3%
Emerson CollegeOctober 26–29, 20222,000 ± 2.1%46%50%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 24–28, 2022500 ± 4.4%43%43%4%5%6%
OH Predictive InsightsOctober 24–27, 2022600 ± 4.0%45%41%1%4%9%
Susquehanna Polling and Research October 24–27, 2022500 ± 4.3%44%45%1%3%7%
Echelon InsightsOctober 24–26, 2022500 ± 4.9%44%45%4%7%
Echelon InsightsOctober 24–26, 2022500 ± 4.9%45%48%6%
The Trafalgar Group October 21–24, 20221,100 ± 2.9%44%51%3%2%
Siena Research/NYTOctober 19–24, 2022885 ± 4.2%45%49%<1%5%
Phillips AcademyOctober 22–23, 20221,052 ± 3.0%50%45%5%
InsiderAdvantage October 20, 2022550 ± 4.2%43%49%4%5%
CBS News/YouGovOctober 14–19, 20221,057 ± 4.4%48%48%4%
Data for Progress October 13–19, 2022819 ± 3.0%47%48%3%2%
BSP Research/Shaw & Co.October 12–19, 20221,000 ± 3.1%43%41%6%10%
University of Nevada, RenoOctober 5–19, 2022585 ± 4.0%47%45%4%5%
Rasmussen Reports October 13–17, 2022707 ± 4.0%42%47%7%4%
Suffolk UniversityOctober 4–7, 2022500 ± 4.4%43%44%2%4%7%
CNN/SSRSSeptember 26 – October 2, 2022926 ± 4.7%46%46%5%2%
CNN/SSRSSeptember 26 – October 2, 2022828 ± 5.0%46%48%4%2%
OH Predictive InsightsSeptember 20–29, 2022741 ± 3.6%42%45%5%3%5%
Big Data PollSeptember 18–20, 20221,000 ± 3.0%40%42%5%13%
The Trafalgar Group September 17–20, 20221,086 ± 2.9%45%48%5%3%
Data for Progress September 14–19, 2022874 ± 3.0%45%45%7%3%
Emerson CollegeSeptember 8–10, 2022750 ± 3.4%40%40%4%12%
Fabrizio Ward /Impact Research August 16–24, 20221,332 ± 4.4%41%38%3%7%10%
Fabrizio Ward /Impact Research August 16–24, 20221,332 ± 4.4%46%48%6%
The Trafalgar Group August 15–18, 20221,082 ± 2.9%44%46%4%6%
Suffolk UniversityAugust 14–17, 2022500 ± 4.4%43%40%2%5%10%
Beacon Research July 5–20, 2022479 ± 4.5%49%39%1%6%
Beacon Research July 5–20, 2022301 ± 5.6%48%46%2%3%
Emerson CollegeJuly 7–10, 20222,000 ± 2.1%44%40%9%7%
The Tarrance Group July 5–10, 2022600 ± 4.1%46%44%5%5%
Change Research June 24–27, 2022701 ± 3.7%46%43%11%
WPA Intelligence June 4–6, 2022502 ± 4.4%47%48%5%
University of Nevada, RenoMay 17–27, 20221,091 ± 3.4%43%31%11%16%
OH Predictive InsightsApril 1–9, 2022748 ± 4.4%44%35%21%
Suffolk UniversityApril 2–6, 2022500 ± 4.4%37%39%6%18%
Blueprint Polling March 21–24, 2022671 ± 3.8%40%43%17%
OH Predictive InsightsJanuary 19–26, 2022755 ± 3.6%52%48%
Impact Research December 1–7, 2021800 ± 3.7%47%45%8%
OnMessage Inc. November 16–18, 2021600 ± 4.0%41%51%8%
The Mellman Group September 15–22, 2021600 ± 4.0%45%44%3%8%

Steve Sisolak vs. Joey Gilbert

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak
Joey
Gilbert
None of These
Candidates
OtherUndecided
University of Nevada, RenoMay 17–27, 20221,090 ± 3.4%43%17%20%19%
OH Predictive InsightsApril 1–9, 2022748 ± 4.4%45%31%24%
Suffolk UniversityApril 2–6, 2022500 ± 4.4%39%35%4%21%

Steve Sisolak vs. Dean Heller

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak
Dean
Heller
None of These
Candidates
OtherUndecided
University of Nevada, RenoMay 17–27, 20221,094 ± 3.4%44%21%16%18%
OH Predictive InsightsApril 1–9, 2022748 ± 4.4%46%33%21%
Suffolk UniversityApril 2–6, 2022500 ± 4.4%39%39%7%15%
OH Predictive InsightsJanuary 19–26, 2022755 ± 3.6%54%46%
Impact Research December 1–7, 2021800 ± 3.7%47%44%8%
The Trafalgar Group November 24–29, 20211,034 ± 3.0%40%47%13%
OnMessage Inc. November 16–18, 2021600 ± 4.0%43%49%8%
The Mellman Group September 15–22, 2021600 ± 4.0%46%43%3%8%

Steve Sisolak vs. John Lee

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak
John
Lee
None of These
Candidates
Undecided
OH Predictive InsightsApril 1–9, 2022748 ± 4.4%46%33%21%
Suffolk UniversityApril 2–6, 2022500 ± 4.4%37%40%5%18%

Steve Sisolak vs. Guy Nohra

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Steve
Sisolak
Guy
Nohra
None of These
Candidates
Undecided
Suffolk UniversityApril 2–6, 2022500 ± 4.4%41%29%7%23%

Results

By congressional district

Despite losing re-election, Sisolak won three of the state's four congressional districts.
DistrictSisolakLombardoRepresentative
51%46%Dina Titus
41%55%Mark Amodei
50%47%Susie Lee
49%46%Steven Horsford