2022 Bahia gubernatorial election
The 2022 Bahia state election took place in the state of Bahia, Brazil on 2 October 2022. The elections saw voters choose a Governor and Vice Governor, one Senator, 39 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 63 Legislative Assembly members. The incumbent Governor, Rui Costa, of the Workers' Party, was not eligible for a third term since he ran for governor in 2014 and 2018. In a significant upset, PT nominee and Secretary of Education Jerônimo led Mayor of Salvador ACM Neto in the first round of elections despite the vast majority of registered opinion polls indicating the leadership or even outright victory of Neto. In the end, Jerônimo obtained 49.45% of valid votes to ACM's 40.8%; less than a percentage point within of winning the election in the first round. Nevertheless, as no candidate obtained a majority of the vote, there will be a second round election on October 30 2022.
In the election for Federal Senate from the state of Bahia, incumbent Senator Otto Alencar whose seat was up for election ran for re-election. and was successfully re-elected with 58.3% of valid votes.
Gubernatorial candidates
Political parties have until August 15, 2022 to formally register their candidates.Candidates failing to make Runoff
Socialism and Liberty Party | Kleber Rosa | Teacher. | Socialism and Liberty Party | Ronaldo Mansur | Let's Govern Together | 50 | |||
| Liberal Party | João Roma | Minister of Citizenship | Brazilian Woman's Party | Leonídia Umbelina | Bahia, Hand in Hand with Brazil | 22 | |||
| Brazilian Communist Party | Giovani Damico | Teacher. | Brazilian Communist Party | João Coimbra | None. | 21 | |||
| ' Workers' Cause Party | Marcelo Millet | App driver. | ' Workers' Cause Party | Roque Vieira Jr. | None. | 29 |
Senatorial candidates
Political parties have until August 15, 2022 to formally register their candidates.Withdrawn candidates
João Leão - Vice Governor of Bahia since 2015; Federal Deputy from Bahia 1995–2015 and Mayor of Lauro de Freitas 1989–93. The Vice-Governor of Bahia said that the reason he gave up running for the Federal Senate is due to his advanced age and the difficulty in keeping up with the pace of the candidate for the government of Bahia, ACM Neto.José Ronaldo - Former Mayor of Feira de Santana, former Federal Deputy, and candidate for governor of Bahia in 2018. He decided to coordinate ACM Neto's campaign for governor instead, supporting the coalition candidate Cacá Leão.Legislative Assembly
The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly of Bahia is given below:Opinion polls
First round
The first round is scheduled to take place on 2 October 2022.2022
2021
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Neto DEM | Jaques PT | Roma Republicanos | Raíssa Ind. | Mendes PSOL | Others | Abst. Undec | Lead |
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Others | Abst. Undec | Lead | |||||
| 24–28 Nov 2021 | 2,002 | 54.8% | 23.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 14.3% | 31.7% | |
| 24–28 Nov 2021 | 2,002 | 55.1% | 23.3% | 4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | – | 14.4% | 31.8% | |
| 24–28 Nov 2021 | 2,002 | 56.2% | 23.5% | 5.2% | – | – | – | 15.1% | 32.7% | |
| 24–28 Nov 2021 | 2,002 | 36.6% | 36.8% | 13.6% | – | – | 13% | 0.2% | ||
| 24–25 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 43% | 30% | 9% | – | – | 3% | 15% | 13% | |
| 24–25 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 45% | 30% | – | – | – | – | 25% | 15% | |
| 4–7 Aug 2021 | 2,008 | 50% | 24.1% | 3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | – | 16.9% | 25.9% | |
| 4–7 Aug 2021 | 2,008 | 52.3% | 25.4% | 4.5% | – | – | – | 17.8% | 26.9% | |
| 4–7 Aug 2021 | 2,008 | 37.9% | 35% | 13.7% | – | – | 13,5% | 2.9% | ||
| 13–15 Jul 2021 | 1,200 | 41% | 27% | 4% | – | – | 2% | 26% | 14% | |
| 13–15 Jul 2021 | 1,200 | 35% | 29% | 15% | – | – | 2% | 19% | 6% | |
| 10–14 Jul 2021 | 2,000 | 27.35% | 18.15% | 0.75% | 1.75% | 0.55% | 5.45% | 46% | 9.2% | |
| 10–14 Jul 2021 | 2,000 | 42.15% | 27% | 1.05% | 3.1% | 0,85% | 8.3% | 17.55% | 15.15% | |
| 12–15 May 2021 | 2,002 | 38% | 33.6% | 15.2% | – | – | – | 13.2% | 4.4% |
Second round
The second round is scheduled to take place on 30 October 2022.ACM Neto vs. Jerônimo
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Neto UNIÃO | Jerônimo PT | Abst. Undec | Lead |
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Abst. Undec | Lead | ||
| 12–14 Sep 2022 | 1,212 | 60% | 33% | 7% | 27% | |
| 22–24 Aug 2022 | 1,008 | 68% | 23% | 10 | 45% | |
| 30 Jul–8 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 42.7% | 39.9% | – | 2.8% | |
| 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 49% | |
| 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 58% | 19% | 23% | 39% | |
| 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 73% | 11% | 16% | 62% |
ACM Neto vs. João Roma
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Neto UNIÃO | Roma PL | Abst. Undec | Lead |
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Abst. Undec | Lead | ||
| 30 Jul–8 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 49.7% | 25.3% | – | 24.4% | |
| 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 68% | 13% | 18% | 55% | |
| 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 61% | 14% | 25% | 47% | |
| 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 73% | 10% | 20% | 63% |
João Roma vs. Jerônimo
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Roma PL | Jerônimo PT | Abst. Undec | Lead |
| Pollster/client | Date conducted | Sample size | Abst. Undec | Lead | ||
| 30 Jul–8 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 23.8% | 48.2% | – | 24.4% | |
| 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 23% | 26% | 52% | 3% | |
| 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 30% | 46% | 24% | 16% | |
| 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 24% | 22% | 55% | 2% |