2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election


The 2020 North Carolina gubernatorial election was held on November 3, 2020, to elect the governor of North Carolina, concurrently with the 2020 U.S. presidential election, as well as [United States Senate United States Senate elections, 2020|elections, 2020|elections] to one-third of the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Democratic incumbent Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term, defeating Republican lieutenant governor Dan Forest. Cooper became the first North Carolina governor to win re-election since Mike Easley in 2004. He also outperformed other Democrats on the ballot and was the only Democrat to win a gubernatorial race in a state carried by Donald Trump in 2020. With a margin of 4.51%, this election was the second closest of the 2020 gubernatorial election cycle after Puerto Rico and the closest in a U.S. state.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Other candidates

Libertarian Party

Nominee

Constitution Party

Nominee

General election

Debates

A debate between Cooper and Forest occurred 7:00 pm EDT, October 14, 2020.
DatesLocationCooperForestLink
October 14, 2020Raleigh, North CarolinaParticipantParticipantFull debate - C-SPAN

Polling

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Dan
Forest
Other /
Undecided
SwayableOctober 27November 1, 2020655 ± 5.5%55%43%2%
Frederick Polls October 30–31, 2020676 ± 3.7%52%45%3%
Emerson CollegeOctober 29–31, 2020855 ± 3.3%55%45%1%
CNN/SSRSOctober 23–30, 2020901 ± 4%52%42%5%
East Carolina UniversityOctober 27–28, 20201,103 ± 3.4%54%43%2%
Cardinal Point Analytics October 27–28, 2020750 ± 3.6%47%45%8%
Marist College/NBCOctober 25–28, 2020800 ± 4.7%59%40%1%
Gravis MarketingOctober 26–27, 2020614 ± 4%51%43%6%
Meeting Street Insights October 24–27, 2020600 ± 4%51%43%
Siena College/NYT UpshotOctober 23–27, 20201,034 ± 3.4%51%42%7%
RMG ResearchOctober 24–26, 2020800 ± 3.5%53%41%6%
SwayableOctober 23–26, 2020386 ± 6.9%53%44%3%
SurveyUSA/WRAL-TVOctober 23–26, 2020627 ± 4.9%53%42%6%
YouGov/UMass AmherstOctober 20–26, 2020911 ± 4.2%54%42%3%
Harper Polling/Civitas October 22–25, 2020504 ± 4.4%52%42%5%
Meredith CollegeOctober 16–19, 2020732 ± 3.5%52%34%16%
East Carolina UniversityOctober 15–18, 20201,155 ± 3.4%53%44%2%
Emerson CollegeOctober 13–14, 2020721 ± 3.6%50%46%4%
Civiqs/Daily KosOctober 11–14, 20201,211 ± 3.3%53%46%1%
Siena College/NYT UpshotOctober 9–13, 2020627 ± 4.5%51%37%12%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 8–11, 2020500 ± 4.4%51%44%5%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 8–11, 2020500 ± 4.4%52%44%3%
Monmouth UniversityOctober 8–11, 2020500 ± 4.4%51%46%3%
SurveyUSAOctober 8–11, 2020669 ± 4.8%52%39%10%
RMG ResearchOctober 7–11, 2020800 51%37%12%
Public Policy PollingOctober 4–5, 2020911 ± 3.3%52%40%8%
East Carolina UniversityOctober 2–4, 20201,232 ± 3.2%53%40%7%
ALG Research September 22–28, 2020822 53%43%
YouGov/UMass LowellSeptember 18–25, 2020921 ± 4.1%54%41%4%
Meredith CollegeSeptember 18–22, 2020705 ± 3.5%50%39%11%
Harper Polling/Civitas September 17–20, 2020612 ± 3.96%46%39%14%
Siena College/NYT UpshotSeptember 11–16, 2020653 ± 4.3%47%42%10%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesSeptember 12–15, 20201,092 ± 2.97%55%36%9%
Suffolk UniversitySeptember 10–14, 2020500 ± 4.4%50%38%12%
SurveyUSASeptember 10–13, 2020596 ± 5.6%49%42%10%
CNN/SSRSSeptember 9–13, 2020787 ± 4.4%53%44%2%
CNN/SSRSSeptember 9–13, 2020893 ± 4.1%53%42%5%
Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political ReportAugust 29September 13, 20201,116 48%38%14%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesAugust 30 – September 3, 2020951 ± 3.18%54%35%11%
Monmouth UniversityAugust 29 – September 1, 2020401 ± 4.9%51%40%8%
Monmouth UniversityAugust 29 – September 1, 2020401 ± 4.9%51%42%7%
Monmouth UniversityAugust 29 – September 1, 2020401 ± 4.9%51%42%7%
East Carolina UniversityAugust 29–30, 20201,101 ± 3.4%50%40%10%
Redfield and Wilton StrategiesAugust 16–19, 2020967 ± 3.2%51%38%11%
East Carolina UniversityAugust 12–13, 20201,255 ± 3.2%52%38%11%
Emerson CollegeAugust 8–10, 2020673 ± 3.8%50%44%7%
Harper Polling/Civitas August 6–10, 2020600 ± 4.0%49%39%13%
Public Policy Polling July 23–24, 2020884 ± 3.4%53%42%5%
Cardinal Point Analytics July 22–24, 2020735 ± 3.6%46%46%8%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesJuly 19–23, 2020919 ± 3.2%51%37%12%
Marist College/NBC NewsJuly 14–22, 2020882 ± 4.0%58%38%4%
Cardinal Point Analytics July 13–15, 2020547 ± 4.2%49%46%5%
East Carolina UniversityJune 22–25, 20201,149 ± 3.4%49%38%13%
Public Policy PollingJune 22–23, 20201,157 ± 2.9%50%41%10%
NYT Upshot/Siena CollegeJune 8–18, 2020653 ± 4.1%50%39%11%
Gravis Marketing June 17, 2020631 ± 3.9%46%46%8%
Redfield & Wilton StrategiesJune 14–17, 2020902 ± 3.6%52%31%17%
Public Policy PollingJune 2–3, 2020913± 3.2%50%39%11%
Harper Polling/Civitas May 26–28, 2020500 ± 4.4%49%37%14%
Neighbourhood Research & MediaMay 12–21, 2020391 47%35%18%
Meeting Street Insights May 9–13, 2020500 55%37%8%
East Carolina UniversityMay 7–9, 20201,111 ± 3.4%51%36%13%
Civiqs/Daily KosMay 2–4, 20201,362 ± 3.0%53%44%3%
Meredith CollegeApril 27–28, 2020604 ± 4.0%52%32%16%
SurveyUSAApril 23–26, 2020580 ± 5.4%57%30%13%
Public Policy PollingApril 20–21, 20201,275 ± 3.2%53%40%7%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research April 13–18, 2020800 ± 3.5%55%36%9%
Public Policy PollingApril 14–15, 20201,318 ± 3.4%50%36%13%
Harper Polling/Civitas April 5–7, 2020500 ± 4.4%50%33%17%
East Carolina UniversityFebruary 27–28, 20201,288 ± 3.2%49%41%10%
Harper Polling/Civitas October 15–17, 2019500 ± 4.4%46%36%18%
Meredith CollegeSeptember 29October 7, 2019996 ± 3.0%46%33%21%
Harper Polling/Civitas August 1–4, 2019500 ± 4.4%48%36%16%
Public Policy PollingJune 17–18, 2019610 ± 4.0%45%41%14%
Harper Polling June 8–10, 2019500 ± 4.4%47%37%16%
Emerson CollegeMay 31June 3, 2019932 ± 3.1%52%38%10%
Spry Strategies May 25 – June 1, 2019730 ± 3.5%40%44%16%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–7, 2019750 ± 3.6%47%35%18%

with Holly Grange

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Holly
Grange
Other /
Undecided
East Carolina UniversityFebruary 27–28, 20201,288 ± 3.2%49%33%18%
Harper Polling/Civitas October 15–17, 2019500 ± 4.4%46%27%27%
Harper Polling/Civitas August 1–4, 2019500 ± 4.4%48%30%22%

with Phil Berger

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Phil
Berger
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy PollingJune 17–18, 2019610 ± 4.0%46%39%16%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–7, 2019750 ± 3.6%48%34%18%

with Pat McCrory

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Pat
McCrory
Other /
Undecided
Harper Polling/Civitas October 15–17, 2019500 ± 4.4%44%38%18%
Harper Polling/Civitas August 1–4, 2019500 ± 4.4%47%38%14%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–7, 2019750 ± 3.6%45%41%14%

with Tim Moore

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Tim
Moore
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy PollingJune 17–18, 2019610 ± 4.0%46%38%16%
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–7, 2019750 ± 3.6%46%32%22%

with Thom Tillis

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Roy
Cooper
Thom
Tillis
Other /
Undecided
Public Policy PollingJanuary 4–7, 2019750 ± 3.6%46%37%17%

Results

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

By congressional district

Despite winning a majority of the popular vote, Cooper only won five of 13 congressional districts.
DistrictForestCooperRepresentative
42.6%56.4%G. K. Butterfield
31.4%67.0%Deborah K. Ross
58.5%40.0%Greg Murphy
29.9%68.8%David Price
63.5%35.2%Virginia Foxx
34.2%64.2%Kathy Manning
54.5%44.0%David Rouzer
49.2%49.0%Richard Hudson
50.3%48.4%Dan Bishop
63.7%35.0%Patrick McHenry
52.2%46.3%Madison Cawthorn
27.0%71.0%Alma Adams
62.9%35.9%Ted Budd

Analysis

Voter demographics

Voter demographic data was collected by CNN. The voter survey is based on exit polls. There were 4,557 total respondents.