2012 Washington gubernatorial election


The 2012 Washington gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012. Candidates in the election were chosen in an August 7, 2012 primary election, under the state's nonpartisan blanket primary system, which allows voters to vote for any candidate running in the race, regardless of party affiliation. The two candidates who received the most votes in the primary election qualified for the general election.
Incumbent Governor Christine Gregoire decided to retire rather than seek a third term. She endorsed fellow Democrat Jay Inslee, a U.S. Congressman, as her successor. On March 20, 2012, Inslee resigned from Congress in order to focus on his gubernatorial campaign.
Inslee and Republican Rob McKenna, the Attorney General of Washington, advanced to the general election. Inslee narrowly won the election, and McKenna conceded three days later.

Primary election

Democratic candidates

Declined

Republican candidates

Declined

Independent candidates

Polling

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Rob
McKenna
Jay
Inslee
Lisa
Brown
Dow
Constantine
Clint
Didier
Bill
Bryant
Brian
Sonntag
Aaron
Reardon
Undecided
Chism StrategiesJune 28–30, 2011408 ± 5.0%20%17%3%3%3%2%2%1%49%

General election

Candidates

Debates

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Jay
Inslee
Rob
McKenna
Other/Undecided
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 14November 3, 2012November 3, 201247.3%46.3%6.4%Inslee +1.0%

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Inslee
Rob
McKenna
Undecided
Public Policy PollingNovember 1–3, 2012932± 3.2%50%48%2%
KING5/SurveyUSAOctober 28–31, 2012555± 4.2%47%46%7%
KCTS 9/Washington PollOctober 18–31, 2012632± 3.9%49%46%6%
Elway PollOctober 18–21, 2012451± 4.5%45%47%10%
Strategies360October 17–20, 2012500± 4.4%45%45%10%
Public Policy Polling/WCVOctober 15–16, 2012574± n/a%48%42%10%
KCTS 9/Washington PollOctober 1–16, 2012782± 3.5%48%45%8%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 14, 2012500± 4.5%47%45%9%
SurveyUSAOctober 12–14, 2012543± 4.3%47%44%9%
SurveyUSASeptember 28–30, 2012540± 4.3%48%42%10%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 26, 2012500± 4.5%46%45%9%
Public Elway PollSeptember 9–12, 2012405± 5%44%41%15%
Public Policy PollingSeptember 7–9, 2012563± 4.2%48%42%10%
Survey USASeptember 7–9, 2012524± 4.4%49%44%7%
Survey USAAugust 2–3, 2012524± 4.4%48%45%7%
Elway PollJuly 18–22, 2012405± 5.0%43%36%21%
Survey USAJuly 16–17, 2012630± 4.0%41%42%16%
Public Policy PollingJune 14–17, 20121,073± 3.0%40%43%17%
Elway PollJune 13–16, 2012408± 5.0%40%42%18%
Strategies360May 22–24, 2012500± 4.4%39%43%18%
Survey USAMay 8–9, 2012557± 4.2%38%40%22%
Grove Insights March 26–28, 2012500± 4.4%38%34%28%
Grove Insights February 21–23, 2012500± 4.4%38%38%24%
Public Policy PollingFebruary 16–19, 20121,264± 2.8%42%42%16%
Survey USAFebruary 13–15, 2012572± 4.2%39%49%12%
Elway PollFebruary 7–9, 2012405± 5.0%36%45%19%
Survey USAJanuary 12–16, 2012617± 4.0%43%46%11%
Survey USANovember 21–23, 2011549± 4.3%38%44%17%
Washington PollOctober 10–30, 2011938± 3.2%38%44%18%
Survey USASeptember 21–22, 2011529± 4.3%38%44%18%
Survey USAJune 24–26, 2011600± 4.4%47%44%9%
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%38%40%22%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%41%48%11%

Christine Gregoire vs. Rob McKenna

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Christine
Gregoire
Rob
McKenna
Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%40%49%11%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%40%52%7%

Christine Gregoire vs. Dave Reichert

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Christine
Gregoire
Dave
Reichert
Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%45%41%14%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%44%48%8%

Jay Inslee vs. Dave Reichert

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Jay
Inslee
Dave
Reichert
Undecided
Public Policy PollingMay 12–15, 20111,098± 3.0%42%36%22%
Survey USAApril 27–28, 2011610± 4.0%44%46%10%

Lisa Brown vs. Rob McKenna

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Lisa
Brown
Rob
McKenna
Undecided
Public Policy PollingJuly 27-August 1, 20101,204± 2.8%29%47%24%

Results

The race was close throughout the night, with results too close to call after 60 percent of ballots were counted. Inslee was declared the winner early in the morning three days later; McKenna conceded later in the evening.
Inslee won only eight of the state's 39 counties, relying on heavy margins in the Seattle metropolitan area to push him to victory.

By county

;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Inslee won five of ten congressional districts, with the remaining five going to McKenna, including one that elected a Democrat.
DistrictInsleeMcKennaRepresentative
48%52%Suzan DelBene
54%46%Rick Larsen
46%54%Jaime Herrera Beutler
37%63%Doc Hastings
42%58%Cathy McMorris Rodgers
51%49%Norm Dicks
51%49%Derek Kilmer
74%26%Jim McDermott
43%57%Dave Reichert
61%39%Adam Smith
51%49%Denny Heck