2008 Washington gubernatorial election


The 2008 gubernatorial election in Washington was held on November 4, 2008. Republican Dino Rossi and incumbent Democratic Governor Christine Gregoire emerged from the August 19 primary. This made the 2008 election a rematch between the candidates from the 2004 election, the closest gubernatorial election in the state's history. In contrast to the recounts and months of legal challenges in their previous contest, Gregoire was the clear winner on November 5 with about 53% of the vote. With a margin of 6.48%, this election was the second-closest race of the 2008 gubernatorial election cycle, behind only the election in North Carolina.

Primary election

!style="background-color:#E9E9E9" valign=top|Candidate
!style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Stated party preference
!style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Website
!style="background-color:#E9E9E9"|Notes

Controversy over Rossi's party preference

Under the changes to election law made by the passage of Initiative 872, partisan contests are no longer tied to registered parties, but candidates are allowed to indicate an arbitrary "party preference" to appear next to their name on the primary and general election ballots. An extreme example of this occurred in the 40th District race for state senator, where candidate Timothy Stoddard indicated a preference for the "Salmon Yoga" party.
Republican candidate Dino Rossi listed his party preference as "G.O.P." instead of the traditional party name "Republican". Critics of Rossi contended that the choice of party name was an attempt to distance himself from any negative opinions associated with the Republican Party. Rossi's campaign argued that the difference was insignificant, saying voters are already aware that the terms refer to the same party. However, an Elway Research poll taken in August 2008 found that over 25% of registered voters were not aware that the term "GOP" meant the Republican Party.
On September 23, the Washington State Democrats, alleging that the latter is a misrepresentation of his true party affiliation, filed a lawsuit against the Secretary of State to force the state to list Rossi to on the general election ballot as a Republican instead of with the "GOP Party" label. A King County Superior Court judge dismissed the suit, saying nothing in state law made the choice of party name illegal, but he acknowledged the potential confusion. Had the lawsuit succeeded, many counties would have had to reprint their ballots, and the already-cast absentee votes of military personnel may have become invalid.

Results

While the primary was officially held on August 19, 2008, some counties such as King County allowed absentee ballots to be postmarked by that date in order to be valid. As a result, the primary vote tally was not officially certified until September 9, to allow time for mailed-in ballots to arrive and be counted by the counties. As an increasing number of counties allowed, encouraged, or mandated mail-in ballots for voters within the county, the number of such ballots was significant.

General election

Christine Gregoire and Dino Rossi were declared the winners of the primary and placed on the ballot for the November 4 election, which coincided with the national election. However, with all Washington counties either exclusively or predominantly voting via mail-in ballot, many votes were cast prior to that date. King County, the largest county in the state, and the one which carried Gregoire to victory in 2004, sent out overseas absentee ballots on October 5, and resident mail-in ballots on October 17.
In Washington state, mail-in ballots only needed to be postmarked, not received, by November 4, meaning that valid ballots continued to be received and counted after that date. For the 2008 election, counties had until November 26 to send results to the state, and the Secretary of State had until December 4 to certify all state results.

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation
Dates
administered
Dates
updated
Christine
Gregoire
Dino
Rossi
Other/Undecided
Margin
Real Clear PoliticsOctober 22 – November 2, 2008November 2, 200850.7%47.3%2.0%Gregoire +3.4%

Poll sourceDate
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Christine
Gregoire
Dino
Rossi
Undecided
Survey USAOctober 30-November 2, 200852%46%2%
Survey USAOctober 26–27, 200850%48%2%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 22, 200850%48%2%
Survey USAOctober 12–13, 200848%47%5%
Rasmussen ReportsOctober 2, 200848%48%4%
Survey USASeptember 21–22, 200850%48%2%
Strategic VisionSeptember 14–16, 2008800± 3.0%46%48%6%
Rasmussen ReportsSeptember 10, 200846%52%2%
Survey USASeptember 5–7, 200847%48%5%
SurveyUSAAugust 11–12, 2008718± 3.7%50%48%2%
Rasmussen ReportsAugust 6, 200847%43%10%
Strategic VisionJuly 25–27, 2008800± 3.0%47%45%8%
SurveyUSAJuly 13–15, 2008666± 3.9%49%46%5%
Moore InformationJuly 9–10, 2008400± 5.0%45%45%11%
Rasmussen ReportsJuly 9, 200849%43%8%
Elway PollJune 18–22, 2008405± 5.0%47%39%14%
Rasmussen ReportsJune 9, 200850%43%7%
SurveyUSAJune 9, 2008637± 4.0%50%47%3%
Rasmussen ReportsMay 12, 200852%41%7%
Elway PollApril 21–22, 2008405± 5.0%43%38%19%
SurveyUSAApril 14–16, 2008634± 4.0%50%46%4%
SurveyUSAApril 7, 2008607± 4.1%48%47%5%
Rasmussen ReportsMarch 27, 200847%46%7%
Rasmussen ReportsFebruary 28, 200846%47%7%
Washington PollFebruary 7–18, 2008300± 5.6%54%42%4%
Elway PollJanuary 3–6, 200840548%35%17%
Washington PollOctober 22–29, 2007601± 4.0%47%42%11%
Strategic VisionOctober 5–7, 2007800± 3.0%47%45%8%
Strategic VisionMarch 24–26, 2006800± 3.0%38%51%11%

Police Guild press conference incident

At an August 7 press conference held by the Seattle Police Officers Guild to declare its endorsement of Rossi, the Guild forcibly removed Kelly Akers, a Gregoire campaign staffer who was filming the event, from the premises. The Rossi campaign reiterated a standing policy to prevent opposing campaigns from filming Rossi's appearances, to deny them the ability to take "attack footage." Rossi's campaign staff includes a cameraman tasked with filming Gregoire appearances.

Debates

Five debates were held
between Gregoire and Rossi, the candidates in the general election.
DateTimeLocationSponsors
2008-09-209:00 PMFisher Plaza Fisher Communications, League of Women Voters, Seattle Post-Intelligencer
2008-09-257:30 PMSemiahmoo Resort Association of Washington Business - C-SPAN
2008-10-017:00 PMCapitol Theatre KCTS 9, Yakima Herald-Republic
2008-10-097:00 PM*KSPS-TV Studios KSPS-TV, Spokane Spokesman-Review
2008-10-158:00 PMTBDKING-TV, Seattle Times, NPR

*The Spokane debate was taped in the morning to be aired at the indicated time. All other debates were held and aired live.
The Gregoire campaign had sought a sixth debate in Tacoma, sponsored by the Tacoma News-Tribune. The Rossi campaign instead sought a sixth debate in Vancouver, Washington, sponsored by The Columbian. The local Camas-Washougal Rotary Club went so far as to reserve a venue for October 8. The campaigns could not agree on either event.
The Gregoire campaign had set aside August 15 for a pre-primary radio debate with Rossi on Seattle NPR station KUOW-FM. Rossi declined to appear, giving Gregoire solo airtime.

Results

Gregoire declared victory after late evening returns were posted, with 42% of the statewide vote counted, showing her with a 52% lead over Rossi. By 10:30 PM PST all five major television networks had called the race for Gregoire. The Rossi campaign called the networks' declarations "premature" and did not concede defeat that evening. Rossi held out hope that late ballots would carry him, as late returns had reversed an early Gregoire lead in 2004. Rossi conceded the next morning.
Rossi conceded defeat in the gubernatorial election on November 5. In his concession speech, he indicated that he was not planning a return to politics. Rossi's retirement from politics was short-lived: in 2010 he ran in the race for United States Senate against Patty Murray.

By county

;Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
;Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

By congressional district

Gregoire won five of nine congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Rossi, including one that elected a Democrat.
DistrictGregoireRossiRepresentative
56%44%Jay Inslee
52%48%Rick Larsen
49.6%50.4%Brian Baird
35%65%Doc Hastings
45%55%Cathy McMorris Rodgers
54%46%Norm Dicks
79%21%Jim McDermott
49%51%Dave Reichert
54%46%Adam Smith