1985 Miami mayoral election


The 1985 Maimi mayoral election consisted of an initial vote held on November 5, 1985, and a runoff vote held on November 12. It resulted in the election of attorney Xavier Suarez. The incumbent mayor, Maurice Ferré, was seeking an unprecedented seventh term as mayor. However, Ferré was eliminated in the first round.
Both candidates to advance to the general election were Cuban-born. Suarez's election made him the first Cuban-born mayor of Miami.

Candidates

Advanced to runoff

Eliminated in first round

Campaign

The election was acrimonious and attracted national attention. Campaign spending totaled at approximately $1.9 million.

Background

Incumbent mayor Ferré was seeking an unprecedented seventh term. In the 1981 and 1983 elections, in order to combat votes against him from the city's Cuban American population, he had relied on the support of a coalition of American-born white voters, Puerto Rican voters, and African American voters. Ferré had enjoyed strong African American support in all of his prior mayoral elections. However, his firing of Howard Gary from his position as city manager had caused African American support for him to fracture prior to the 1985 election. Anger over Gary's firing was seen as a major factor in Ferré's ultimate first round defeat in the election.
In his previous election, Ferré won a runoff against Suarez, who challenged him again in 1985. Nine other candidates also ran in 1985. Of the cumulative eleven candidates, only four were perceived as being viable contenders.

First round campaign

The Orlando Sentinel described Dunn as running a "creditable" campaign on a sparse budget. It described Ferré, Suarez, Masdival, and Dunn as the candidates that were in a viable position to advance to a runoff, and described the other seven candidates as having "little chance".
Ahead of the first round, the editorial boards of the city's two major daily newspapers published endorsements of Masvidal. The Miami Herald's endorsement was critical of the prospect of a seventh term for Ferré,
The majority of discourse ahead of the first round of the election focused on Ferré and his actions as mayor. Masvidal's of Ferré were very acrimonious. Suarez also largely focused his campaigning on attacking the incumbent mayor. However, in late October Suarez began additionally criticizing Masvidal. Suarez prefaced some criticism of Masvidal with the note that he still regarded Masvidal to be a friend of his.
During the campaign, Suarez was perceived as holding an adversarial attitude towards the downtown business establishment.

Runoff campaign

African American voters were particularly courted by both Suarez and Masvidal ahead of the runoff. Suarez had received very little support from African American voters in the first round while Masvidal had received a sizable share of the black vote in the first round. Suarez received endorsements from a number of important black allies of Ferré, but they were not seen as having anywhere near the influence that Gary had with the city's black electorate.
Masvidal retained the endorsements of both daily newspapers.

First round results

The city's November 5 elections saw 56,830 ballots cast. Of these, 2,383 ballots were either blank or otherwise undervoted by casting no vote in the mayoral race. The mayoral election saw participation by 47.98% of the city's registered voters. Turnout was much lower than had been anticipated. Weather on the day of the election was described as "sunny", and was not considered a factor in the turnout failing to meet expectations.
Since no candidate received a majority, a runoff needed to be held. Ferré was unseated, placing third and thereby failing to make the runoff. Of the nine City of Miami mayoral elections Ferré ran in during his lifetime, 1985 was the only one in which he failed to either win or advance to a runoff.

Analysis of first round results

Both candidates that advanced to the runoff were Cuban-Americans. Pollsters considered it widely surprising that two Cuban-American candidates had advanced, and that the incumbent mayor had failed to advance.
Ferré received only an estimated 10–15% of the city's black vote. Dunn and Masvidal received equally large shares of the black vote by some estimates. The Miami Herald estimated that Masvidal greatly outperformed even Dunn among black voters. Suarez, who had been born in Cuba, received a massive share of the Cuban-American vote. Masdival was also born in Cuba, received less strong support from Cuban-American voters, underperforming both Suarez and Ferré in Little Havana. Overall, Suarez performed strongly with hispanic voters in the city, but received weak support from black and American-born white voters. Ferré received an estimated 35% of the combined vote of non-Latin white and black voters. Suarez received very little support from African American voters. Suarez also received immensely weak support in several communities with large anglo-white populations, such as Coconut Grove.
The Miami Herald published and estimate of the vote that each candidate received among major ethnic blocs in the city.
CandidateBlack votersHispanic votersNon-latin whites
Suarez2%48%13%
Masvidal52%21%34%
Ferré10%21%34%
Dunn32%1%26%

Runoff results

56,225 of the city's 114,121 registered voters cast ballots in the November 12 runoffs. 1,304 ballots were either blank or undervoted in the mayoral race. 48.13% of registered voters cast a vote in the mayoral race.

Analysis of runoff results

In the runoff, Masvidal retained his strength among black voters. However, Suarez outperformed expectations for his support among non-hispanic white voters. Additionally, Suarez outperformed Masvidal by margins as high as 7–1 in areas of Little Havana with a high Cuban-American population. Suarez won the election, a victory which resulted in him becoming the first Cuban-born mayor of Miami.