Binary classification
Binary classification is the task of putting things into one of two categories. As such, it is the simplest form of the general task of classification into any number of classes. Typical binary classification problems include:
- Medical testing to determine if a patient has a certain disease or not;
- Quality control in industry, deciding whether a specification has been met;
- In information retrieval, deciding whether a page should be in the result set of a search or not
- In administration, deciding whether someone should be issued with a driving licence or not
- In cognition, deciding whether an object is food or not food.
Image:binary-classification-labeled.svg|thumb|220px|right|In this set of tested instances, the instances left of the divider have the condition being tested; the right half do not. The oval bounds those instances that a test algorithm classifies as having the condition. The green areas highlight the instances that the test algorithm correctly classified. Labels refer to:
TP=true positive; TN=true negative; FP=false positive ; FN=false negative ; TPR=set of instances to determine true positive rate; FPR=set of instances to determine false positive rate; PPV=positive predictive value; NPV=negative predictive value.
Four outcomes
Given a classification of a specific data set, there are four basic combinations of actual data category and assigned category: true positives TP, true negatives TN, false positives FP, and false negatives FN.| Test outcome positive | Test outcome negative | |
| Condition positive | True positive | False negative |
| Condition negative | False positive | True negative |
These can be arranged into a 2×2 contingency table, with rows corresponding to actual value – condition positive or condition negative – and columns corresponding to classification value – test outcome positive or test outcome negative.
Evaluation
From tallies of the four basic outcomes, there are many approaches that can be used to measure the accuracy of a classifier or predictor. Different fields have different preferences.The eight basic ratios
A common approach to evaluation is to begin by computing two ratios of a standard pattern. There are eight basic ratios of this form that one can compute from the contingency table, which come in four complementary pairs. These are obtained by dividing each of the four numbers by the sum of its row or column, yielding eight numbers, which can be referred to generically in the form "true positive row ratio" or "false negative column ratio".There are thus two pairs of column ratios and two pairs of row ratios, and one can summarize these with four numbers by choosing one ratio from each pair – the other four numbers are the complements.
The row ratios are:
- true positive rate =, aka sensitivity or recall. These are the proportion of the population with the condition for which the test is correct.
- *with complement the false negative rate =
- true negative rate =, aka specificity,
- *with complement false positive rate =, also called independent of prevalence
- positive predictive value . These are the proportion of the population with a given test result for which the test is correct.
- *with complement the false discovery rate
- negative predictive value
- *with complement the false omission rate , also called dependence on prevalence.
Cullerne Bown has suggested a flow chart for determining which pair of indicators should be used when. Otherwise, there is no general rule for deciding. There is also no general agreement on how the pair of indicators should be used to decide on concrete questions, such as when to prefer one classifier over another.
One can take ratios of a complementary pair of ratios, yielding four likelihood ratios. This is primarily done for the column ratios, yielding likelihood ratios in diagnostic testing. Taking the ratio of one of these groups of ratios yields a final ratio, the diagnostic odds ratio. This can also be defined directly as / = /; this has a useful interpretation – as an odds ratio – and is prevalence-independent.
Other metrics
There are a number of other metrics, most simply the accuracy or Fraction Correct, which measures the fraction of all instances that are correctly categorized; the complement is the Fraction Incorrect. The F-score combines precision and recall into one number via a choice of weighing, most simply equal weighing, as the balanced F-score. Some metrics come from regression coefficients: the markedness and the informedness, and their geometric mean, the Matthews correlation coefficient. Other metrics include Youden's J statistic, the uncertainty coefficient, the phi coefficient, and Cohen's kappa.Statistical binary classification
is a problem studied in machine learning in which the classification is performed on the basis of a classification rule. It is a type of supervised learning, a method of machine learning where the categories are predefined, and is used to categorize new probabilistic observations into said categories. When there are only two categories the problem is known as statistical binary classification.Some of the methods commonly used for binary classification are:
- Decision trees
- Random forests
- Bayesian networks
- Support vector machines
- Neural networks
- Logistic regression
- Probit model
- Genetic Programming
- Multi expression programming
- Linear genetic programming
Converting continuous values to binary
Binary classification may be a form of dichotomization in which a continuous function is transformed into a binary variable. Tests whose results are of continuous values, such as most blood values, can artificially be made binary by defining a cutoff value, with test results being designated as positive or negative depending on whether the resultant value is higher or lower than the cutoff.However, such conversion causes a loss of information, as the resultant binary classification does not tell how much above or below the cutoff a value is. As a result, when converting a continuous value that is close to the cutoff to a binary one, the resultant positive or negative predictive value is generally higher than the predictive value given directly from the continuous value. In such cases, the designation of the test of being either positive or negative gives the appearance of an inappropriately high certainty, while the value is in fact in an interval of uncertainty. For example, with the urine concentration of hCG as a continuous value, a urine pregnancy test that measured 52 mIU/ml of hCG may show as "positive" with 50 mIU/ml as cutoff, but is in fact in an interval of uncertainty, which may be apparent only by knowing the original continuous value. On the other hand, a test result very far from the cutoff generally has a resultant positive or negative predictive value that is lower than the predictive value given from the continuous value. For example, a urine hCG value of 200,000 mIU/ml confers a very high probability of pregnancy, but conversion to binary values results in that it shows just as "positive" as the one of 52 mIU/ml.