2002 Irish general election

Overview

• The election was considered a success for Fianna Fáil, with the party coming within a handful of seats from achieving an overall majority and winning the most first-preference votes in every single Dáil constituency. The only high-profile loss was cabinet minister Mary O'Rourke losing her seat in Westmeath.
• The re-election of the Fianna Fáil–Progressive Democrats government, the first occasion since 1969 that an Irish government won re-election.
• The meltdown in Fine Gael support, which saw the main opposition party drop from 54 to 31 seats, and lose all but three seats in Dublin.
• The failure of the Labour Party, contrary to all expectations, to increase its seat total. Later in the year, Ruairi Quinn stepped down as leader of the Labour Party. He was replaced by Pat Rabbitte, who was one of four Democratic Left TDs who joined in a merger with Labour in 1999. The most high-profile loss for the party was the defeat of former leader Dick Spring in Kerry.
• The success of the Green Party, which increased its TDs from two to six, including its first Teachta Dála outside of Dublin.
• The electoral success of Sinn Féin, which increased its seat number from one to five.
• The election of a large number of independent candidates.
• Contrary to what opinion polls and political pundits were predicting, the Progressive Democrats kept all of their seats, and picked up four more.
• It was the first time electronic voting machines were used in an Irish election. They were used in three constituencies: Dublin North, Dublin West and Meath. They would not be used again at a general election.

Fine Gael

• Alan Dukes – former party leader
• Jim Mitchell – deputy leader
• Nora Owen – former deputy leader and former Minister for Justice
• Austin Currie – former presidential candidate
• Jim Higgins – former Chief Whip
• Alan Shatter – front bench member
• Deirdre Clune – front bench member
• Michael Creed – front bench member
• Frances Fitzgerald – front bench member

• There was an element of bad luck in some losses, and the proportion of seats they lost was much greater than the proportion of votes.
• In 2002, the Irish economy was booming, unemployment was low, and the outgoing government was a stable one that had lasted its full term.
• No other opposition party, noticeably Labour, would agree to a pre-election pact with Fine Gael, sensing the unpopularity of the party. This meant that no-one felt that Fine Gael would be able to lead a government after the election. In contrast, the two parties of the outgoing government fought the election on a united front.
• The Fine Gael party was poorly organised in Dublin, and morale was low.
• The political landscape had changed in Ireland since Fine Gael's heyday in the 1980s. The Progressive Democrats and the Green Party in particular ate into Fine Gael's middle class support, and anti-Fianna Fáil voters had a much wider range of parties to choose from. All 4 of the extra seats won by the Green Party were at the expense of Fine Gael, as were 3 out of 4 of the Progressive Democrats' gains.
• Toward the end of the campaign, Michael McDowell warned that because Fianna Fáil were so high in the opinion polls, they could form a government by themselves. This led to a significant shift to the Progressive Democrats at the last minute, and many Fine Gael voters voted strategically for the Progressive Democrats to avoid a single-party Fianna Fáil government.

Results

Government formation

Dáil membership changes

• 22 outgoing TDs retired
• 143 TDs stood for re-election
• *110 of those were re-elected
• *33 failed to be re-elected
• 55 successor TDs were elected
• *47 were elected for the first time
• *8 had previously been TDs
• There were 7 successor female TDs, replacing 6 outgoing, increasing the total number by 1 to 22
• There were changes in 38 of 42 constituencies contested

Seanad election